Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Mirassol's flying under the radar while Internacional shows up to this party absolutely battered.** The hosts have **won 2 of their last 3**, and the visitors are limping in with four first-team absentees — not ideal when you're already struggling defensively. 🚨
Mirassol's been solid at home lately, mixing wins with draws. Internacional still have the talent to nick this, but their injury list reads like a war casualty report. The head-to-head favors the hosts too — **Mirassol haven't lost to them in the last three meetings**.
Key storylines:
- **Mirassol's attack** (Eduardo, G. Silva, B. Santos) faces a depleted Internacional backline missing key defenders
- **Denilson and Igor Formiga** anchor the home midfield against a Internacional side struggling for consistency
- **Vitinho and J. Carbonero** trying to spark creativity for the visitors, but Internacional's injury crisis makes a deep run tough
Expected lineups:
- **Mirassol**: Walter, Reinaldo, W. Machado, J. Victor, Denilson, N. Moura, Eduardo, G. Silva, B. Santos
- **Internacional**: M. Cunha, A. Bernabei, G. Mercado, J. Juninho, R. Villagra, T. Maia, Vitinho, J. Carbonero, Alerrandro
Prediction:
**Mirassol 2-1 Internacional** — the hosts' recent form and the visitor's injury nightmare give Mirassol a slight edge here. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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