Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Vasco's form is suddenly sharp while Corinthians are in freefall** — this should be a mismatch on paper. 🔴⚪
Vasco have won two of their last five and just beat Boca away; Corinthians are winless in five with three losses in their last three. The head-to-head favors Tim historically (22 wins vs Vasco's 5), but right now? Vasco have the momentum and the home crowd.
Key storylines:
- **Vasco's attacking depth** with Tchê Tchê, Lescano, and Rique will test a Corinthians defence missing Raniele at its most vulnerable
- **Depay's presence** in the Corinthians lineup offers a lifeline, but the midfield without Raniele looks thin and exposed
- **Injuries pile up for both**, but Vasco are coping better — Corinthians' meniscus and ACL absences hurt more in the middle
Expected lineups:
- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, C. Cuesta, S. Sosa, T. Mendes, A. Lescano, Tchê Tchê, R. Rique, F. Colidio
- **Corinthians**: H. Souza, M. Bidu, G. Henrique, G. Paulista, Vitinho, R. Garro, Kaio César, M. Depay
Prediction:
**Vasco da Gama 2–1 Corinthians**
Vasco lean slight favourite at home with form on their side.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.