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Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Eduardo Dominguez
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Atlético Mineiro 0-1 Cruzeiro.
90+7'
Atlético Mineiro
Offside, Atlético Mineiro.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
73'
Attempt missed. A. Franco (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
72'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
72'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
64'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
60'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
58'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Atlético Mineiro 0-1 Cruzeiro.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
40'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
36'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
31'
Atlético Mineiro
Offside, Atlético Mineiro.
31'
Atlético Mineiro
Offside, Atlético Mineiro.
20'
Atlético Mineiro
Corner, Atlético Mineiro.
14'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
11'
Cruzeiro
Offside, Cruzeiro.
1'
Kick-off: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
241384 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.9%
-18.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.6%
+11.5 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
7.7%
+4.9 vs price
Half time
647 EUR
Away
3.1 · implied 32.3%
72.6%
+40.3 vs price
Draw
2.5 · implied 40.0%
21.1%
-18.9 vs price
Home
3.65 · implied 27.4%
6.3%
-21.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
172002 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
69.0%
-30.0 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.0%
+30.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1110 EUR
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
87.2%
+1.7 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
12.8%
-1.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
K. Jorge · assist K. Arroyo0–1
24'
Natanael · Argument
25'
Zé Lucas · Argument
42'
M. Pereira · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
M. Henrique ◂ Zé Lucas
46'
🔁
Maycon ◂ Natanael
46'
🔁
A. Minda ◂ G. Scarpa
57'
🔁
L. Duarte ◂ V. F. C. Teixeira
65'
🔁
F. Bruno ◂ J. Marcelo
65'
🔁
M. Viña ◂ L. Villalba
67'
🔁
C. C. Soares ◂ Reinier
68'
🔁
Bernard ◂ I. Gomes
69'
M. Henrique · Foul
82'
🔁
B. Rodrigues ◂ Gerson
82'
🔁
N. Villarreal ◂ K. Jorge
83'
J. Jesus · Foul
85'
W. Furtado · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'+9
A. Minda · Foul
Coaches
Eduardo DominguezArtur Jorge 
Recent form
Atlético MineiroLAFlamengo2-3
LAMontevideo City Torque0-2
WHCoritiba1-0
WHMontevideo City Torque3-0
WHSantos2-1
CruzeiroWHRemo1-0
WAGrêmio4-2
LARed Bull Bragantino2-4
WHSão Paulo2-0
WAVitória3-1
About this match
**Mineiro's got the home-field edge in this Belo Horizonte derby, but Cruzeiro's hitting form like a hammer right now.** 🔨 Classic derbi chaos incoming.
Atlético's been solid at the Arena (that 3-0 demolition of Montevideo City speaks volumes), but they're nursing a long injury list with **Everson**, **Scarpa**, and **Cassierra** all sidelined. Cruzeiro? Four wins in five, including a demolition of Grêmio (4-2). **Gerson** pulling strings in midfield will be key.
Key storylines:
- **Atlético Mineiro's** absences test depth — **Bernard** and **Reinier** carry creative load without Scarpa
- **Cruzeiro's** hot streak (4W-1L) vs a **Mineiro** side clicking at home but ravaged by injuries
- Midfield battle: can **K. Castaño** and **Maycon** contain **Gerson**'s orchestration?
Expected lineups:
- **Atlético Mineiro**: G. Delfim, R. Lodi, V. Hugo, Natanael, K. Castaño, Maycon, Dudu, Bernard, Reinier
- **Cruzeiro**: Otávio, G. Rojas, J. Marcelo, W. Furtado, Gerson, L. Romero, Wesley, M. Pereira, K. Jorge
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Mineiro's home resilience meets Cruzeiro's firepower — neither side can break through. 🤝
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiere
OneFootball DeutschlandSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Liga 1 Play
Fanatiz USA
Match facts
Stadium
Arena MRV
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
29 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
1
G. Delfim
7.8
8
Maycon
6.5
↑ 46'
3
L. Duarte
7.0
↑ 57'
13
Lyanco
6.8
6
R. Lodi
6.4
21
A. Franco
7.4
15
K. Castaño
7.1
27
A. Minda
7.2
↑ 46'
30
V. Hugo
7.3
11
Bernard
7.1
↑ 68'
29
C. C. Soares
6.6
↑ 67'
81
Otávio
6.9
12
W. Furtado
7.6
34
J. Jesus
7.9
6
M. Viña
7.0
↑ 65'
15
F. Bruno
7.2
↑ 65'
29
L. Romero
7.4
7
M. Henrique
6.7
↑ 46'
99
K. Arroyo
7.5
10
M. Pereira
7.3
22
N. Villarreal
6.7
↑ 82'
9
B. Rodrigues
6.5
↑ 82'
Substitutes
31GR. Alves
40DV. F. C. Teixeira↓ 57'6.4
2DNatanael↓ 46'6.2
36DK. P. Resende
23DÁ. Preciado
10MG. Scarpa↓ 46'6.6
17MI. Gomes↓ 68'6.3
19MReinier↓ 67'6.0
25MT. Pérez
39MM. Cissé
5MAlexsander
92FDudu
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.6
17Total shots17
2Shots on target6
2Big chances5
7Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target8
7Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed4
1.1Goals prevented0.21
Attack
39Touches in box23
41Final third entries64
2Offsides1
10Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
515Passes422
428Accurate passes348
21/47 (45%)Long balls26/52 (50%)
3/31 (10%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
33Throw-ins21
Duels
46Duels53
31/68 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)
9/19 (47%)Aerial duels10/19 (53%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles7/10 (70%)
13Dispossessed9
Defending
12Tackles17
67Tackles won53
6Interceptions20
22Clearances29
43Recoveries47
Discipline
14Fouls10
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
2Big saves0
12Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.60 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.33 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.90 @ William Hill
1X2Cruzeiro to win 38% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.90 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.56 @ 1xBet
Who winsAtlético-MG to win (DNB) 58% · 1.91 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Atlético-MG to win 36% · 3.00 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.63
Atlético Mineiro
3.50
Draw
2.50
Cruzeiro
Double Chanceconsensus
1.48
Atlético Mineiro or Draw
1.29
Atlético Mineiro or Cruzeiro
1.44
Draw or Cruzeiro
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.38
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.16
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.88
Atlético Mineiro
1.83
Cruzeiro
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.15
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.92
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.51
Over 9.50
2.30
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50
1.81
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.29
Over 11.50
1.51
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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