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Corinthians
Mirassol
Mirassol
Corinthians
R. Guanaes
Corinthians
Corinthians
Corinthians
Mirassol
Clarence Seedorf
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Mirassol
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
89'
Corinthians
Corner, Corinthians.
80'
Goal! Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol. Kaio César (Corinthians) scores, assisted by R. Garro.
77'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
47'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Corinthians 0-0 Mirassol.
45+4'
Corinthians
Corner, Corinthians.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
45'
R. Guanaes
Yellow card for R. Guanaes (Mirassol) for argument.
45'
Corinthians
Corner, Corinthians.
35'
Corinthians
Offside, Corinthians.
28'
Corinthians
Corner, Corinthians.
12'
Mirassol
Offside, Mirassol.
1'
Kick-off: Corinthians vs Mirassol.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
296002 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.9%
-13.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.5%
+7.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.6%
+6.5 vs price
Half time
409 EUR
Draw
2.34 · implied 42.7%
98.4%
+55.7 vs price
Away
5.3 · implied 18.9%
7.9%
-11.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
93015 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
85.8%
-9.4 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
14.3%
+7.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
26 EUR
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
100.0%
+88.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
22'
VAR
Card check · B. Santos
24'
B. Santos · Violent conduct
43'
E. Carioca · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'
R. Guanaes · Argument
46'
🔁
A. Luis ◂ Eduardo
46'
🔁
Gabriel ◂ E. Carioca
58'
⚽
M. Bidu · assist Matheuzinho1–0
69'
🔁
Denilson ◂ Wallisson Luiz
71'
🔁
C. Eduardo ◂ Alesson
76'
A. Ramalho · Argument
79'
🔁
Vitinho ◂ F. Angileri
80'
⚽
Kaio César · assist R. Garro2–0
82'
🔁
Chico ◂ N. Moura
83'
Matheuzinho · Foul
88'
🔁
A. Carrillo ◂ Kaio César
88'
🔁
P. Milans ◂ Matheuzinho
Full-time · 2–0
90'+4
🔁
Charles ◂ A. Luiz
90'+4
🔁
Dieguinho ◂ R. Garro
Coaches
Clarence SeedorfRafael Guanaes 
Recent form
CorinthiansLAVasco da Gama2-3
DHVitória1-1
LAPalmeiras1-4
LAInternacional1-2
LHFluminense1-3
MirassolDHSão Paulo1-1
WHInternacional2-0
LABahia0-1
DARed Bull Bragantino1-1
WAUberlândia EC4-0
About this match
**Corinthians desperately need a win at home**, but they're in freefall while **Mirassol are actually cooking** — this could get ugly fast. 🔥
Timão haven't won in five and just conceded four to their fiercest rivals. Mirassol, meanwhile, are 2W-2D in their last five and picked up a clean sheet over Internacional. The home-ground advantage matters, but form doesn't lie.
Key storylines:
- **Corinthians' defensive chaos** without G. Paulista and A. Santana — Mirassol's attack will sense blood
- **R. Garro and B. Bidon** need to control the midfield or Denilson and Eduardo run the show
- **H. Souza** facing Mirassol's dangerous front line (A. Luis, Alesson, N. Moura) with a brittle backline
Expected lineups:
- **Corinthians**: H. Souza, G. Henrique, Matheuzinho, M. Bidu, F. Angileri, R. Garro, B. Bidon, Vitinho, A. Carrillo, Kaio César, Y. Alberto
- **Mirassol**: A. Muralha, Igor Formiga, W. Machado, Reinaldo, J. Victor, Denilson, Eduardo, B. Santos, N. Moura, Alesson, A. Luis
Prediction:
**Mirassol 1-1 Corinthians**. Timão scrape a draw at home, but it won't feel like a win — Mirassol's form gives them the edge.
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 3
PremiereSportv
Liga 1 Play
Canal 11
Arena Sport Premium 3
Fanatiz USA
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
30 Oct, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Mirassol
1
H. Souza
6.7
20
P. Milans
↑ 88'
5
A. Ramalho
7.7
13
G. Henrique
7.4
11
Vitinho
6.4
↑ 79'
61
Dieguinho
↑ 90'
7
B. Bidon
7.1
19
A. Carrillo
↑ 88'
35
Charles
↑ 90'
21
M. Bidu
7.5
9
Y. Alberto
6.9
22
Walter
6.8
32
Igor Formiga
6.3
34
J. Victor
6.8
3
W. Machado
6.5
6
Reinaldo
6.3
27
Denilson
6.4
↑ 69'
10
Chico
6.5
↑ 82'
44
Gabriel
6.2
↑ 46'
9
A. Luis
6.5
↑ 46'
96
C. Eduardo
6.6
↑ 71'
30
B. Santos
4.3
Substitutes
51GKauê
26DF. Angileri↓ 79'7.9
2DMatheuzinho↓ 88'7.7
55DI. Machado
4DJ. Pedro
8MR. Garro↓ 90'7.7
49MA. Luiz↓ 90'6.5
29MAllan
23MM. Pereira
37FKaio César↓ 88'8.5
56FG. Negão
18FP. Raul
Coach: Clarence Seedorf
Top stats
60%Possession40%
2.52Expected goals (xG)0.03
35Total shots1
8Shots on target0
3Big chances0
4Corners2
Shots
21Shots off target1
6Blocked shots0
16Shots inside box0
19Shots outside box1
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.0Goals prevented-0.38
Attack
37Touches in box1
67Final third entries38
1Offsides1
8Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
555Passes391
506Accurate passes307
26/36 (72%)Long balls22/56 (39%)
6/32 (19%)Crosses1/4 (25%)
19Throw-ins19
Duels
51Duels49
33/61 (54%)Ground duels28/61 (46%)
9/22 (41%)Aerial duels13/22 (59%)
11/14 (79%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles9
50Tackles won56
13Interceptions7
13Clearances27
50Recoveries32
Discipline
13Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves6
0Big saves1
1Goal kicks25
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.30 @ 1xBet
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 65% · 1.42 @ 10bet
1X2Corinthians to win 51% · 2.30 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.16 @ 1xBet
1X2Mirassol to win 23% · 4.33 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Corinthians
3.57
Draw
4.20
Mirassol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Corinthians or Draw
1.27
Corinthians or Mirassol
1.94
Draw or Mirassol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.90
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Corinthians
2.98
Mirassol
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.36
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.98
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50
1.81
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.38
Over 11.50
1.49
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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