Specify prediction model version
The prediction model data of the previous 5.0 version was very useful to me. How can I continue to obtain the prediction data of the 5.0 version model?
Resolution: v5 was torn down 2026-07-23 and its artefacts deleted; it lost to the market by 6.6-10.1% Brier on goals and the optimal blend weight on the model was 0 in 8/9 cases. Replaced by the analytical Forecast Engine on the same endpoints. Asked what specifically they used so it can be matched.
Comments
3
admin 🎖️ · Admin · 🥵 97
Aug 18, 2026 07:59
Hi!
Can you explain me why was better for you?
Just to understand if I can bring it to Live or not.
best.
Aug 18, 2026 08:30
The new version of the model for predicting the number of goals has introduced odds and no longer has the ability to predict independently. I obtained betting opportunities through a strategy observation model predicting probability and probability of odds, and the new version of the prediction data is no longer valid.
Aug 19, 2026 07:51
You cannot, and I owe you a straight explanation rather than a workaround.
The 5.0 model was taken down on 23 July and the artefacts are deleted. It was not a maintenance decision - we measured it against the market and it lost. On 5,100 resolved predictions it was 6.6% to 10.1% worse than the de-vigged closing price on goals markets, and against a plain base rate the goals markets scored negative skill. In a blend of model and market the optimal weight on the model came out at zero in 8 of 9 cases. It was also emitting no over-1.5 picks at all by then.
So we stopped selling a number we could not defend. Keeping it available would have meant knowing it was worse and letting people build on it anyway.
What replaced it is the Forecast Engine, which is analytical rather than machine-learned: Dixon-Coles walk-forward for goals, a negative-binomial corners model, and a de-vigged market anchor, blended with weights fitted by backtest. It is served on the same prediction endpoints, so nothing in your integration needs to change.
I realise that is not what you asked. If 5.0 was giving you something specific the current engine does not - a particular market, a confidence value, a field you were reading - tell me which and I will look at whether the current engine can produce it. That is a question I can act on; restoring 5.0 is not.
Bzzoiro
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