Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys — score & stats

Set by set

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Sets
A. Sabalenka	6	6	2
M. Keys	3	3	0

Momentum — game by game, ● = break

▲ A. Sabalenka ▼ M. Keys

Match facts

Tournament

Brisbane

A. Sabalenka

W S. Cirstea 2–0 W C. Bucsa 2–0 L E. Rybakina 0–2 W A. Anisimova 2–1 W C. Gauff 2–0

M. Keys

W D. Shnaider 2–1 W M. Kessler 2–0 L A. Anisimova 1–2 L I. Świątek 0–2 L R. Zarazúa 1–2

A. Sabalenka · match stats · M. Keys

5Aces4

2Double faults8

57%First serve in68%

73%First-serve points won57%

93%Second serve in65%

46%Second-serve points won30%

60%Break points saved55%

45%Break points converted40%

51%Return points won38%

40Service points won35

35Receiver points won25

75Total points won60

12Games won6

7Service games won4

0Tiebreaks won0

4Longest point streak4

4Longest game streak1

Per set · aces & double faults

Set	Aces	Double faults
Set 1	0–3	0–7
Set 2	5–1	2–1

Figures read A. Sabalenka first.

Set 29 games · newest first

6-3 game 9 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 40-0

5-3 game 8 M. Keys serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A

5-2 game 7 A. Sabalenka serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

4-2 game 6 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30

3-2 game 5 A. Sabalenka serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 15-30 30-30 30-40

3-1 game 4 M. Keys serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

2-1 game 3 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40

1-1 game 2 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15 40-30

0-1 game 1 A. Sabalenka serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A

Set 19 games · newest first

6-3 game 9 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40

5-3 game 8 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

4-3 game 7 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

3-3 game 6 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15

2-3 game 5 M. Keys serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40 30-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

2-2 game 4 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40

1-2 game 3 M. Keys serving

0-15 0-30 0-40

1-1 game 2 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

0-1 game 1 M. Keys serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

Point chips read A. Sabalenka first · highlighted border marks the point winner.

Head to head

5 A. Sabalenka vs M. Keys
7 meetings 2

W Indian Wells · Mar 2025 · hard 2–0 L Australian Open · Jan 2025 · hard 1–2

W/L from A. Sabalenka's perspective.

Win probability

A. SabalenkaM. Keys

80%

20%

80%

Model confidence

Why the model thinks so

Better on this surface
Better recent form
More titles on this surface
Better on break points

How the model did

Predicted A. Sabalenka — correct

A. Sabalenka

1.25

consensus price, since opening

M. Keys

4.00

consensus price, since opening

Match winnerdecimal

Bookmaker A. Sabalenka M. Keys

Gamdom 1.18 5.20

Consensus 1.25 4.00