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Match facts
Tournament
Brasilia, Brazil
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Jaime Faria is ranked 160 places higher
Surface
Jaime Faria wins +50% more on this surface
Form
Jaime Faria comes in with better momentum
Serve
Jaime Faria has the stronger first serve
Recent form
J. Faria 3 of last 5
L T. Etcheverry 0–2 W D. Džumhur 2–0 W S. Báez 2–0 L I. Marcondes 0–2 W N. Jarry 2–1G. Cadenasso 3 of last 5
L D. Merida 0–2 L S. Travaglia 1–2 W N. Budkov Kjaer 2–0 W G. Oradini 2–1 W F. Agamenone 2–1Win probability
J. FariaG. Cadenasso
60%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+160 places)
- Dominant on this surface (50% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
J. Faria
1.53
1.30
▼
consensus price, since opening
G. Cadenasso
2.38
3.40
▲
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
J. Faria
G. Cadenasso
Consensus
1.30
3.40
Tnnslive
1.32
3.23
J. Faria at 1.30
78%
win rate at similar odds (9 matches) · market implies 77% · value signal