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Match facts
Tournament
Brasilia, Brazil
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Elmer Moller is ranked 131 places higher
Surface
Elmer Moller wins +22% more on this surface
Serve
Elmer Moller has the stronger first serve
Recent form
P. Boscardin Dias 2 of last 5
L T. Barrios Vera 0–2 L R. Burruchaga 0–2 W F. Comesaña 2–1 W M. Cecchinato 2–1 L A. Collarini 0–2E. Møller 2 of last 5
L F. Cerundolo 0–2 W R. Burruchaga 2–1 L F. Passaro 0–2 L D. Prižmić 0–2 W M. Dodig 2–0Win probability
P. Boscardin DiasE. Møller
75%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+131 places)
- Dominant on this surface (22% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Strong in tiebreaks (100%)
P. Boscardin Dias
2.63
consensus price, since opening
E. Møller
1.44
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
P. Boscardin Dias
E. Møller
Consensus
2.63
1.44
E. Møller at 1.44
64%
win rate at similar odds (11 matches) · market implies 69%