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Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kostyuk | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| E. Rybakina | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Momentum — game by game, ● = break
▲ M. Kostyuk
▼ E. Rybakina
Match facts
Tournament
Indian Wells
Category
Wta1000
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Court
Stadium 1
City
Indian Wells
First serve
M. Kostyuk
Total games
8–12
Recent form
M. Kostyuk · match stats · E. Rybakina
0Aces1
7Double faults2
75%First serve in78%
53%First-serve points won61%
56%Second serve in86%
38%Second-serve points won50%
29%Break points saved50%
50%Break points converted71%
42%Return points won51%
32Service points won38
26Receiver points won30
58Total points won68
8Games won12
5Service games won7
0Tiebreaks won0
4Longest point streak6
2Longest game streak4
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| Set 2 | 0–0 | 3–1 |
Figures read M. Kostyuk first.
Set 210 games · newest first
4-6
game 10
M. Kostyuk serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-5
game 9
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-4
game 8
M. Kostyuk serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
4-3
game 7
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-2
game 6
M. Kostyuk serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
3-2
game 5
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
3-1
game 4
M. Kostyuk serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
2-1
game 3
E. Rybakina serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
1-1
game 2
M. Kostyuk serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
1-0
game 1
E. Rybakina serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
Set 110 games · newest first
4-6
game 10
M. Kostyuk serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
40-30
40-40
40-A
4-5
game 9
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-4
game 8
M. Kostyuk serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
3-4
game 7
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
3-3
game 6
M. Kostyuk serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
2-3
game 5
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
2-2
game 4
M. Kostyuk serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
40-A
2-1
game 3
E. Rybakina serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
1-1
game 2
M. Kostyuk serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
40-30
0-1
game 1
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
Point chips read M. Kostyuk first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Head to head
L
Miami · Mar 2026 · hard
0–2
L
Montreal · Aug 2025 · hard
0–1
W/L from M. Kostyuk's perspective.
Win probability
M. KostyukE. Rybakina
79%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (78% win rate)
- More effective serve
- More titles on this surface
How the model did
Predicted E. Rybakina
— correct
M. Kostyuk
3.50
consensus price, since opening
E. Rybakina
1.30
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Kostyuk
E. Rybakina
Gamdom
3.60
1.28
Consensus
3.50
1.30