Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini — score & stats

Set by set

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Set 3	Sets
J. Ostapenko	5	6	7	2
J. Paolini	7	2	5	1

Momentum — game by game, ● = break

▲ J. Ostapenko ▼ J. Paolini

Match facts

Tournament

Miami

J. Ostapenko

W D. Yastremska 2–0 L J. Pegula 1–2 L A. Kalinskaya 1–2 L V. Mboko 0–2 W E. Cocciaretto 2–0

J. Paolini

W T. Townsend 2–1 L T. Gibson 1–2 W A. Tomljanović 2–1 L C. Bucsa 0–2 W K. Boulter 2–1

J. Ostapenko · match stats · J. Paolini

10Aces5

5Double faults4

64%First serve in66%

70%First-serve points won51%

81%Second serve in87%

35%Second-serve points won39%

33%Break points saved56%

44%Break points converted67%

53%Return points won43%

41Service points won43

49Receiver points won31

90Total points won74

18Games won14

10Service games won8

0Tiebreaks won0

8Longest point streak6

7Longest game streak3

Per set · aces & double faults

Set	Aces	Double faults
Set 1	4–4	2–1
Set 2	2–1	2–2
Set 3	6–3	3–1

Figures read J. Ostapenko first.

Set 312 games · newest first

7-5 game 12 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 A-40

6-5 game 11 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40

5-5 game 10 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 0-40 15-40 30-40

5-4 game 9 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 15-40

5-3 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15

4-3 game 7 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A

4-2 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40

4-1 game 5 J. Paolini serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40 30-40 40-40 40-A

4-0 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15

3-0 game 3 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0

2-0 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15

Set 28 games · newest first

6-2 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30

5-2 game 7 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15 40-30

4-2 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30

3-2 game 5 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

3-1 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 0-40 15-40

3-0 game 3 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

2-0 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 40-30

Set 112 games · newest first

5-7 game 12 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 40-A

5-6 game 11 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40

5-5 game 10 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 A-40

4-5 game 9 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40

3-5 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 30-0 40-0

2-5 game 7 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 40-A

2-4 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 15-30 15-40

2-3 game 5 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

2-2 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40

1-2 game 3 J. Paolini serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40

1-1 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 30-40

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40

Point chips read J. Ostapenko first · highlighted border marks the point winner.

Head to head

2 J. Ostapenko vs J. Paolini
4 meetings 2

L WTA 1000 Rome · May 2025 · clay 0–2 W Doha · Feb 2025 · hard 2–0

W/L from J. Ostapenko's perspective.

Win probability

J. OstapenkoJ. Paolini

31%

69%

Model confidence

Why the model thinks so

2 tiers above
Dominant on this surface (66% win rate)
Better recent form
Better on break points

How the model did

Predicted J. Paolini — wrong

J. Ostapenko

2.38

consensus price, since opening

J. Paolini

1.57

consensus price, since opening

Match winnerdecimal

Bookmaker J. Ostapenko J. Paolini

Gamdom 2.22 1.64

Consensus 2.38 1.57