Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini — score & stats

Set by set

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Set 3	Sets
J. Ostapenko	5	6	7	2
J. Paolini	7	2	5	1

Momentum — game by game, ● = break

▲ J. Ostapenko ▼ J. Paolini

Match facts

Tournament

Miami

J. Ostapenko

W D. Yastremska 2–0 L J. Pegula 1–2 L A. Kalinskaya 1–2 L V. Mboko 0–2 W E. Cocciaretto 2–0

J. Paolini

W T. Townsend 2–1 L T. Gibson 1–2 W A. Tomljanović 2–1 L C. Bucsa 0–2 W K. Boulter 2–1

J. Ostapenko · match stats · J. Paolini

10Aces5

5Double faults4

64%First serve in66%

70%First-serve points won51%

81%Second serve in87%

35%Second-serve points won39%

33%Break points saved56%

44%Break points converted67%

53%Return points won43%

41Service points won43

49Receiver points won31

90Total points won74

18Games won14

10Service games won8

0Tiebreaks won0

8Longest point streak6

7Longest game streak3

Per set · aces & double faults

Set	Aces	Double faults
Set 1	4–4	2–1
Set 2	2–1	2–2
Set 3	6–3	3–1

Figures read J. Ostapenko first.

Set 312 games · newest first

7-5 game 12 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 A-40

6-5 game 11 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40

5-5 game 10 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 0-40 15-40 30-40

5-4 game 9 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 15-40

5-3 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15

4-3 game 7 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A

4-2 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40

4-1 game 5 J. Paolini serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40 30-40 40-40 40-A

4-0 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15

3-0 game 3 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0

2-0 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15

Set 28 games · newest first

6-2 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30

5-2 game 7 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15 40-30

4-2 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30

3-2 game 5 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

3-1 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 0-40 15-40

3-0 game 3 J. Paolini serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

2-0 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 40-30

Set 112 games · newest first

5-7 game 12 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 40-A

5-6 game 11 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 30-40

5-5 game 10 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 A-40

4-5 game 9 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40

3-5 game 8 J. Ostapenko serving

15-0 30-0 40-0

2-5 game 7 J. Paolini serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 40-15 40-30 40-40 40-A

2-4 game 6 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 15-30 15-40

2-3 game 5 J. Paolini serving

15-0 15-15 15-30 30-30 30-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

2-2 game 4 J. Ostapenko serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40

1-2 game 3 J. Paolini serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40

1-1 game 2 J. Ostapenko serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 30-40

1-0 game 1 J. Paolini serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40

Point chips read J. Ostapenko first · highlighted border marks the point winner.

Head to head

2 J. Ostapenko vs J. Paolini
4 meetings 2

L WTA 1000 Rome · May 2025 · clay 0–2 W Doha · Feb 2025 · hard 2–0

W/L from J. Ostapenko's perspective.

Win probability

J. OstapenkoJ. Paolini

31%

69%

Model confidence

Why the model thinks so

2 tiers above
Dominant on this surface (66% win rate)
Better recent form
Better on break points

J. Ostapenko

2.38

consensus price, since opening

J. Paolini

1.57

consensus price, since opening

Match winnerdecimal

Bookmaker J. Ostapenko J. Paolini

Gamdom 2.22 1.64

Consensus 2.38 1.57

Tnnslive 2.18 1.67