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Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pegula | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| M. Keys | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Match facts
Tournament
Berlin
Category
Wta500
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
grass
Court
Steffi Graf Stadion
City
Berlin
First serve
M. Keys
Total games
14–12
J. Pegula · match stats · M. Keys
5Aces10
1Double faults0
77%First serve in67%
72%First-serve points won81%
95%Second serve in100%
38%Second-serve points won42%
71%Break points saved33%
67%Break points converted29%
32%Return points won36%
58Service points won54
24Receiver points won32
82Total points won86
14Games won12
10Service games won10
2Tiebreaks won0
7Longest point streak9
3Longest game streak3
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 2–7 | 0–0 |
| Set 2 | 3–3 | 1–0 |
Figures read J. Pegula first.
Set 213 games · newest first
7-6
game 13
M. Keys serving
BREAK
1-0
2-0
2-1
3-1
3-2
3-3
3-4
4-4
5-4
5-5
6-5
6-6
7-6
7-7
8-7
8-8
9-8
10-8
6-6
game 12
M. Keys serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
6-5
game 11
J. Pegula serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
5-5
game 10
M. Keys serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
5-4
game 9
J. Pegula serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
4-4
game 8
M. Keys serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
4-3
game 7
J. Pegula serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-2
game 6
M. Keys serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
3-2
game 5
J. Pegula serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
2-2
game 4
M. Keys serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
2-1
game 3
J. Pegula serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
1-1
game 2
M. Keys serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
1-0
game 1
J. Pegula serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
Set 113 games · newest first
7-6
game 13
M. Keys serving
BREAK
0-1
1-1
1-2
1-3
2-3
3-3
4-3
4-4
5-4
5-5
6-5
7-5
6-6
game 12
J. Pegula serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
5-6
game 11
M. Keys serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
5-5
game 10
J. Pegula serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
4-5
game 9
M. Keys serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-4
game 8
J. Pegula serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
3-4
game 7
M. Keys serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
2-4
game 6
J. Pegula serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
1-4
game 5
M. Keys serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
1-3
game 4
J. Pegula serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
1-2
game 3
M. Keys serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
1-1
game 2
J. Pegula serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
0-1
game 1
M. Keys serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
Point chips read J. Pegula first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Head to head
W
Australian Open · Jan 2026 · hard
2–0
L
Adelaide · Jan 2025 · hard
1–2
W/L from J. Pegula's perspective.
Win probability
J. PegulaM. Keys
66%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (67% win rate)
- More effective serve
- More titles on this surface
How the model did
Predicted J. Pegula
— correct
J. Pegula
1.73
consensus price, since opening
M. Keys
2.10
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
1.73
2.10
888Sport
1.73
2.10
Bet365
1.73
2.10
Betsson
1.73
2.08
Betway
1.73
2.10
Bwin
1.75 ▲
2.05 ▼
Interwetten
1.75
2.10
Marathon
1.73
2.10
Novibet
1.72
2.20
SportingBet
1.75 ▲
2.05 ▼
Unibet
1.72 ▲
2.15 ▼
William Hill
1.73
2.10
Consensus
1.73 ▼
2.10 ▼
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.83
1.89
Marathon
1.83
1.89
Consensus
1.83
1.89
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.83 ▼
1.90 ▲
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.85 ▼
1.86 ▲
Betway
1.85
1.85
Bwin
1.83
1.87
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.83 ▼
1.90 ▲
Novibet
1.80
1.90
SportingBet
1.83
1.87
Unibet
1.90 ▼
1.87
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.88
Games Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
1.88 ▼
1.85 ▲
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Bwin
1.87
1.80
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83
1.90
SportingBet
1.87
1.80
Unibet
1.84 ▲
1.93 ▼
William Hill
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Consensus
1.86 ▼
1.85 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.24 ▼
1.59 ▲
Betsson
2.34 ▼
1.53
Marathon
2.24 ▼
1.59 ▲
Novibet
2.30
1.57 ▲
Unibet
2.38
1.54
Consensus
2.30 ▼
1.56 ▲
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
2.69 ▲
1.42 ▼
Betsson
2.60
1.44
Bwin
2.60
1.42
Interwetten
2.55
1.45
Novibet
2.60
1.45
SportingBet
2.60
1.42
Unibet
2.60 ▲
1.48 ▼
William Hill
2.75 ▲
1.40 ▼
Consensus
2.62 ▲
1.44 ▼
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
Consensus
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
O/U Double Faults 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.35
2.95
Consensus
1.35
2.95
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.35
1.53
Consensus
2.35
1.53
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
1.75 ▲
1.99 ▼
888Sport
1.73 ▼
2.00 ▲
Bet365
1.80
2.00
Betsson
1.75
2.01
Betway
1.73
2.00
Bwin
1.75
1.95
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Marathon
1.75 ▲
1.99 ▼
Novibet
1.77 ▼
2.00
SportingBet
1.75
1.95
Unibet
1.73 ▲
2.07 ▼
William Hill
1.73 ▼
2.00 ▲
Consensus
1.75 ▼
1.99 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.10
6.30 ▲
Marathon
1.03
8.80 ▲
Novibet
1.07
7.00
William Hill
1.08 ▼
7.00 ▲
Consensus
1.07 ▼
7.28 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
Unibet
3.35 ▲
1.29 ▼
William Hill
3.25 ▼
1.33 ▲
Consensus
3.30 ▼
1.31 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.80 ▼
1.92 ▲
Marathon
1.80 ▼
1.92 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.80
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.88 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.26
3.45
Consensus
1.26
3.45
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.43
2.62
Marathon
1.43
2.62
Consensus
1.43
2.62
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
1.73
2.02 ▲
888Sport
1.73
2.00
Betway
1.73
2.00
Bwin
1.75
1.98
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Marathon
1.73
2.02 ▲
Novibet
1.71 ▲
2.05
SportingBet
1.75
1.98
Unibet
1.73 ▲
2.07 ▼
William Hill
1.73
2.00
Consensus
1.73 ▲
2.01 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07
7.00
Consensus
1.07
7.00
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
M. Keys
1xBet
2.11 ▲
1.65 ▼
Marathon
2.11 ▲
1.65 ▼
Novibet
2.00
1.75
Consensus
2.07 ▲
1.68 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.85 ▼
1.87 ▲
Marathon
1.85 ▼
1.87 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.78
Consensus
1.87
1.84 ▲
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.48 ▼
2.50 ▲
Marathon
1.48 ▼
2.50 ▲
Consensus
1.48 ▼
2.50 ▲