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Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. de Minaur | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| B. Nakashima | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Match facts
Tournament
Washington
Category
Atp500
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
hard
Court
Stadium
City
Washington, DC
First serve
B. Nakashima
Total games
10–13
Recent form
A. de Minaur · match stats · B. Nakashima
5Aces10
2Double faults3
54%First serve in58%
66%First-serve points won83%
93%Second serve in92%
63%Second-serve points won38%
50%Break points saved86%
14%Break points converted50%
35%Return points won35%
42Service points won60
33Receiver points won23
75Total points won83
10Games won13
9Service games won10
0Tiebreaks won1
4Longest point streak12
3Longest game streak3
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 1–8 | 0–0 |
| Set 2 | 4–2 | 2–3 |
Figures read A. de Minaur first.
Set 256 min · 10 games · newest first
4-5
game 10
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
4-5
game 9
A. de Minaur serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
4-4
game 8
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
4-3
game 7
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
3-3
game 6
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
40-A
3-2
game 5
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
40-30
2-2
game 4
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
2-1
game 3
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
1-1
game 2
B. Nakashima serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
1-0
game 1
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
Set 157 min · 13 games · newest first
6-7
game 13
B. Nakashima serving
0-1
0-2
1-2
2-2
2-3
3-3
3-4
3-5
3-6
4-6
5-6
5-7
6-6
game 12
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
5-6
game 11
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
5-5
game 10
A. de Minaur serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
4-5
game 9
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
4-4
game 8
A. de Minaur serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
4-3
game 7
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
4-2
game 6
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
3-2
game 5
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
3-1
game 4
A. de Minaur serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
2-1
game 3
B. Nakashima serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
1-1
game 2
A. de Minaur serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
0-1
game 1
B. Nakashima serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
Point chips read A. de Minaur first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Head to head
L
London · Jun 2026 · grass
0–2
W
Washington · Jul 2025 · hard
2–0
W/L from A. de Minaur's perspective.
Win probability
A. de MinaurB. Nakashima
73%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (71% win rate)
- Better recent form
- More titles on this surface
How the model did
Predicted A. de Minaur
— wrong
A. de Minaur
1.53
consensus price, since opening
B. Nakashima
2.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.53
2.40
1xBet
1.61
2.38
888Sport
1.62
2.30
Bet365
1.53
2.50
Betsson
1.55
2.40
Betway
1.55
2.40
Bwin
1.57
2.35
Interwetten
1.57
2.40
Marathon
1.56
2.42
Novibet
1.57 ▲
2.40 ▼
SportingBet
1.57
2.35
Unibet
1.56 ▲
2.43 ▼
William Hill
1.62
2.30
Consensus
1.57 ▲
2.39 ▼
O/U Games 23.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.80
1.90
1xBet
1.89
1.83
Marathon
1.90
1.82
Consensus
1.86
1.85
Games Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
2.05
1.70
1xBet
2.01
1.84
888Sport
2.00
1.73
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.91
1.80 ▼
Betway
1.90
1.80
Bwin
2.00
1.70
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.87
1.83
SportingBet
2.00
1.70
Unibet
1.95 ▲
1.83 ▼
William Hill
2.00
1.73
Consensus
1.95
1.77
Games Handicap -2.00Full Match
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.80
1.90
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.88
1.82
Betway
1.90
1.83
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Unibet
1.88
1.83
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.83 ▼
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.20
1.60
1xBet
2.26
1.58
Betsson
2.24 ▼
1.58 ▲
Marathon
2.28
1.57
Novibet
2.25
1.58
Unibet
2.25 ▼
1.58
William Hill
2.10
1.67
Consensus
2.23
1.59
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
2.45
1.50
1xBet
2.45
1.50
Betsson
2.39 ▲
1.51 ▼
Bwin
2.35
1.50
Interwetten
2.40
1.50
Novibet
2.40
1.50
SportingBet
2.35
1.50
Unibet
2.45 ▲
1.54
William Hill
2.63
1.44
Consensus
2.43
1.50 ▼
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.20
4.33
William Hill
1.22
4.00
Consensus
1.22
4.00
O/U Double Faults 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.35
3.00
Consensus
1.35
3.00
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.35
1.53
Consensus
2.35
1.53
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.60
2.25
1xBet
1.65
2.13
888Sport
1.67
2.10
Bet365
1.62
2.30
Betsson
1.62
2.21 ▼
Betway
1.60
2.20
Bwin
1.60
2.18
Interwetten
1.60
2.20
Marathon
1.63 ▲
2.17 ▼
Novibet
1.60
2.30 ▲
SportingBet
1.60
2.18
Unibet
1.63
2.24 ▲
William Hill
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.62
2.20 ▼
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.04
9.30
Marathon
1.02
9.70
Novibet
1.06
7.50
William Hill
1.05
9.00
Consensus
1.04
8.88 ▲
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
William Hill
6.00
1.11
Consensus
6.00
1.11
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.75
1.99
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.76
1.97
Novibet
1.95
1.75
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.82 ▼
1.90 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.22
4.00
Novibet
1.26
3.45
William Hill
1.25
3.75
Consensus
1.26
3.60 ▼
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
1xBet
1.62
2.18
888Sport
1.67
2.10
Betway
1.60
2.20
Bwin
1.62
2.15
Interwetten
1.60
2.20
Marathon
1.59 ▲
2.24 ▼
Novibet
1.60
2.25
SportingBet
1.62
2.15
Unibet
1.64 ▲
2.21
William Hill
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.62
2.18 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07
7.00
Consensus
1.07
7.00
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.16
4.40
Consensus
1.16
4.40
O/U Games 23.002nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.83
Consensus
1.85
1.83
Games Handicap -2.002nd Set
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.80
1.90
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
A. de Minaur
B. Nakashima
1xBet
2.02
1.71
Marathon
1.96 ▲
1.75 ▼
Novibet
1.90
1.83 ▼
Consensus
1.96 ▲
1.76 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.80
1.92
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.81
1.91
Novibet
1.90
1.80
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.84 ▼
1.88 ▼
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.38
2.85
Marathon
1.37
2.89
Consensus
1.38
2.87
Player O/U Games 10.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.20
4.33
William Hill
1.20
4.33
Consensus
1.20
4.33