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Aryna Sabalenka (1)
Belarus
Serving
Ekaterina Alexandrova (16)
Russia
Serving
Aryna Sabalenka (1)
Belarus
Serving
1–2
6-7 · 6-4 · 4-6
Final
Ekaterina Alexandrova (16)
Russia
Serving
Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Set 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sabalenka | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| E. Alexandrova | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Match facts
Tournament
Toronto
Category
Wta1000
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Court
Centre Court
City
Toronto
First serve
A. Sabalenka
Total games
16–17
Recent form
A. Sabalenka · match stats · E. Alexandrova
6Aces8
7Double faults7
54%First serve in56%
61%First-serve points won66%
87%Second serve in84%
50%Second-serve points won50%
60%Break points saved45%
55%Break points converted40%
41%Return points won44%
63Service points won59
41Receiver points won49
104Total points won108
16Games won17
10Service games won10
0Tiebreaks won1
8Longest point streak6
3Longest game streak4
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 1–5 | 5–2 |
| Set 2 | 2–2 | 0–2 |
| Set 3 | 3–1 | 1–3 |
Figures read A. Sabalenka first.
Set 344 min · 9 games · newest first
None-None
game 10
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
4-5
game 9
E. Alexandrova serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
4-4
game 8
A. Sabalenka serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
3-4
game 7
E. Alexandrova serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
2-4
game 6
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
1-4
game 5
E. Alexandrova serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
1-3
game 4
A. Sabalenka serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
40-A
1-2
game 3
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
30-40
1-1
game 2
A. Sabalenka serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
Set 249 min · 11 games · newest first
6-4
game 11
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
6-4
game 10
A. Sabalenka serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
5-4
game 9
E. Alexandrova serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
5-3
game 8
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
40-30
40-40
A-40
4-3
game 7
E. Alexandrova serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
3-3
game 6
A. Sabalenka serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
2-3
game 5
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
30-40
2-2
game 4
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
A-40
1-2
game 3
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
1-1
game 2
A. Sabalenka serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
0-1
game 1
E. Alexandrova serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
Set 155 min · 13 games · newest first
6-7
game 13
E. Alexandrova serving
1-0
1-1
1-2
2-2
2-3
2-4
2-5
2-6
3-6
3-7
6-6
game 12
E. Alexandrova serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
40-30
5-6
game 11
A. Sabalenka serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
5-5
game 10
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
5-4
game 9
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
4-4
game 8
E. Alexandrova serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
40-30
3-4
game 7
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
2-4
game 6
E. Alexandrova serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
30-40
2-3
game 5
A. Sabalenka serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
2-2
game 4
E. Alexandrova serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
2-1
game 3
A. Sabalenka serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
2-0
game 2
E. Alexandrova serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
A-40
1-0
game 1
A. Sabalenka serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
40-30
40-40
A-40
Point chips read A. Sabalenka first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Head to head
W
Berlin · Jun 2026 · grass
2–0
L
Doha · Feb 2025 · hard
1–2
W/L from A. Sabalenka's perspective.
Win probability
A. SabalenkaE. Alexandrova
92%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Dominant on this surface (86% win rate)
- Better recent form
- More titles on this surface
- Better on break points
How the model did
Predicted A. Sabalenka
— wrong
A. Sabalenka
1.25
consensus price, since opening
E. Alexandrova
4.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
10bet
1.14
5.00
1xBet
1.19
5.00
3et
1.16
5.60
888Sport
1.17
5.00
BET-AT-HOME
1.16
5.00
BTI Sports
1.17
5.30
Bet365
1.17 ▼
5.00 ▲
BetMGM.uk
1.17
5.00
Betclic.fr
1.15
4.70
Betmonitor Consensus
1.16
5.08
Betsson
1.15 ▼
5.06 ▲
Betway
1.15 ▼
5.00 ▲
Bwin
1.15
5.25
Interwetten
1.17 ▼
5.00 ▲
Marathon
1.17 ▼
5.05 ▲
Novibet
1.16 ▼
5.50 ▲
Pinnacle
1.17
5.71
Premierbet.mw
1.16
4.80
SportingBet
1.16
5.00
Unibet
1.16 ▼
5.00 ▲
William Hill
1.17
5.00
bet9ja
1.17
5.10
betcity
1.16
5.20
betcris
1.17
5.12
betfair
1.18
5.90
betfox
1.17
5.10
betfred
1.17
5.00
betika
1.16
5.00
betinasia
1.16
5.98
betonline
1.17
5.20
betsensation
1.16
5.40
betuk
1.17
5.00
boylesports
1.14
5.50
chance
1.16
5.46
cmd
1.17
3.70
codere
1.16
4.60
coral
1.14
5.25
dafabet
1.13
4.80
draftkings
1.18
4.90
efbet.net
1.16
5.60
eurobet
1.16
4.80
fanduel
1.15
5.30
fonbet
1.17 ▼
5.10 ▲
forbet
1.16
4.80
gamdom
1.16
5.00
ggbet
1.17
4.84
goldbet
1.16
4.80
granmadrid
1.14
5.33
hardrock
1.17
5.00
kto
1.17
5.00
ladbrokes
1.14
5.25
mansion
1.17
5.00
marathonbet
1.16
5.15
merkurxtip
1.15
4.95
midnite
1.14
5.00
norsktipping
1.14
4.50
paddypower
1.14
5.00
pmbet
1.18
5.19
pmu
1.15
4.80
prolineplus
1.17
5.00
ps3838
1.17
5.71
sbobet
1.14
5.16
soccerbet
1.19
4.85
tipico
1.13
5.00
tipsport
1.16
5.46
vbet
1.13
4.80
veikkaus
1.15
4.90
Consensus
1.16 ▼
4.77 ▲
O/U Games 19.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.87
1.80
Betway
1.90
1.83
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Marathon
1.83
1.90
Novibet
1.87
1.83
Unibet
1.89
1.81
Consensus
1.88
1.82
O/U Games 20.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.85
1xBet
1.83 ▼
1.89 ▲
Marathon
1.81 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.81 ▼
1.91 ▲
O/U Games 20.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.86
1.80
Betway
1.90
1.83
Bwin
1.98
1.72
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Marathon
1.91
1.82
Novibet
1.85
1.85
SportingBet
1.95
1.72
Unibet
1.90
1.88
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.88
1.82
Games Handicap -5.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
10bet
2.10
1.67
1xBet
2.05
1.81
888Sport
2.10
1.67
Bet365
2.00 ▲
1.73 ▼
Betsson
2.09 ▲
1.66 ▼
Betway
2.00 ▼
1.73 ▲
Bwin
2.00
1.70
Interwetten
2.10 ▲
1.77 ▲
Novibet
2.30 ▲
1.55 ▼
SportingBet
2.10
1.62
Unibet
2.14 ▲
1.70
William Hill
2.10
1.67
Consensus
2.10 ▲
1.67 ▼
Games Handicap -5.00Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
1xBet
1.83
1.89
Consensus
1.83
1.89
Games Handicap -4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
888Sport
1.67
2.10
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.67
2.08
Betway
1.65
2.10
Bwin
1.59
2.18
Interwetten
1.65
2.10
Novibet
1.72
2.00
SportingBet
1.70
2.00
Unibet
1.73
2.07
William Hill
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.68
2.07
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
1.83
1.83
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.88
1.36
1xBet
2.89
1.37
Betsson
2.95 ▲
1.35 ▼
Marathon
2.89 ▲
1.37 ▼
Novibet
2.95
1.35 ▼
Unibet
3.00 ▲
1.35 ▼
William Hill
2.50
1.50
fonbet
3.05 ▲
1.35 ▼
Consensus
2.89 ▼
1.38
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
10bet
1.53
2.35
1xBet
1.58 ▲
2.26 ▼
Betsson
1.52 ▼
2.36 ▲
Bwin
1.48
2.40
Interwetten
1.50 ▼
2.40 ▲
Novibet
1.50 ▼
2.35 ▲
SportingBet
1.50
2.35
Unibet
1.55 ▼
2.42 ▲
William Hill
1.67
2.10
fonbet
1.55 ▼
2.40 ▲
Consensus
1.53 ▼
2.35 ▲
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.05
9.00
Consensus
1.05
9.00
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.06
7.30
Marathon
1.06 ▼
7.30 ▲
Novibet
1.13
5.50
Unibet
1.08 ▼
7.00 ▲
Consensus
1.07 ▼
7.20 ▲
O/U Double Faults 5.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.30
3.20
Consensus
1.30
3.20
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.95 ▼
1.38
Consensus
2.95 ▼
1.38
OEFull Match
Bookmaker
Over
E
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
BET-AT-HOME
1.83
1.83
Betmonitor Consensus
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
marathonbet
1.86
1.86
msport
1.88
1.86
pmbet
1.86
1.86
AOU 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betmonitor Consensus
1.54
2.34
bet9ja
1.57
2.30
betcity
1.52
2.42
forbet
1.56
2.28
ggbet
1.49
2.43
msport
1.56
2.28
HOU 15.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betmonitor Consensus
4.65
1.16
betcity
4.80
1.16
ggbet
4.50
1.16
OU 21.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.10
1.70
Betmonitor Consensus
2.16
1.70
Pinnacle
2.18
1.73
betfair
2.24
1.77
betinasia
2.19
1.72
betsensation
2.13
1.70
dafabet
2.05
1.65
efbet.net
2.20
1.72
forbet
2.25
1.57
ps3838
2.18
1.73
sbobet
2.10
1.67
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
10bet
1.25
3.75
1xBet
1.30
3.26
888Sport
1.30
3.40
BET-AT-HOME
1.23
3.65
Bet365
1.25
4.00
Betmonitor Consensus
1.24
3.70
Betsson
1.26 ▼
3.73 ▲
Betway
1.25 ▼
3.50 ▲
Bwin
1.22
3.80
Interwetten
1.25 ▼
3.60 ▲
Marathon
1.29 ▼
3.32 ▲
Novibet
1.25 ▼
3.90 ▲
Pinnacle
1.28
4.00
Premierbet.mw
1.25
3.60
SportingBet
1.24
3.70
Unibet
1.27 ▼
3.75 ▲
William Hill
1.30
3.40
bet9ja
1.25
3.65
betcity
1.25
3.67
betfred
1.25
3.75
betika
1.26
3.75
betonline
1.28
3.88
betsensation
1.24
3.68
boylesports
1.20
4.00
cmd
1.28
3.08
codere
1.25
3.30
coral
1.22
3.90
dafabet
1.22
3.55
draftkings
1.26
3.90
efbet.net
1.25
3.80
eurobet
1.25
3.60
fanduel
1.25
3.70
fonbet
1.27 ▼
3.75 ▲
forbet
1.25
3.60
gamdom
1.24
4.00
goldbet
1.25
3.60
granmadrid
1.23
4.00
hardrock
1.25
4.00
iddaa
1.11
3.34
kto
1.25
3.90
ladbrokes
1.22
3.90
marathonbet
1.29
3.36
merkurxtip
1.23
3.65
midnite
1.25
3.75
msport
1.25
3.60
pmbet
1.23
3.70
pmu
1.20
3.55
ps3838
1.28
4.00
sbobet
1.23
3.63
soccerbet
1.25
3.80
tipico
1.25
3.60
vbet
1.22
3.55
Consensus
1.26 ▼
3.65 ▲
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.00
12.00
William Hill
1.02
13.00
fonbet
1.01
12.00
Consensus
1.02
12.50
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.16
4.55 ▼
Novibet
1.22 ▲
3.80 ▼
fonbet
1.18
4.30
Consensus
1.19 ▲
4.22 ▼
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
1xBet
5.90 ▲
1.10 ▼
Marathon
6.30 ▲
1.08 ▼
William Hill
4.75
1.15
fonbet
6.00 ▲
1.09
Consensus
5.68 ▲
1.11 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.92
1.80
Marathon
1.89 ▼
1.83 ▲
Novibet
1.75
1.95
Consensus
1.82 ▼
1.89 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.08
7.00
Consensus
1.08
7.00
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.17
4.45
Marathon
1.17 ▼
4.45 ▲
Novibet
1.20
4.00 ▲
Consensus
1.18 ▼
4.30 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
1xBet
1.24
3.72
888Sport
1.30
3.40
Betway
1.25 ▼
3.75 ▲
Bwin
1.22
3.80
Interwetten
1.25
3.60
Marathon
1.24 ▼
3.72 ▲
Novibet
1.26 ▼
3.60 ▲
SportingBet
1.24
3.70
Unibet
1.25 ▼
3.80 ▲
William Hill
1.30
3.40
Consensus
1.26 ▼
3.64 ▲
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.00
11.00
Novibet
1.05 ▲
8.00
Consensus
1.03 ▲
11.00 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.13 ▼
4.80 ▲
Marathon
1.11 ▼
5.20 ▲
Novibet
1.10
6.00
Consensus
1.11 ▼
5.60 ▲
Games Handicap -4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
1xBet
5.30 ▲
1.11 ▼
Marathon
5.75 ▲
1.10 ▼
Consensus
5.75 ▲
1.10 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.97
1.76
Marathon
1.96 ▼
1.77 ▲
Novibet
1.93
1.75
Consensus
1.95 ▼
1.76 ▲
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.14
4.95
Marathon
1.13 ▼
5.10 ▲
Consensus
1.13 ▼
5.10 ▲