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Match facts
Tournament
Cincinnati
Category
Wta1000
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Katerina Siniakova is ranked 61 places higher
Surface
Katerina Siniakova wins +46% more on this surface
Serve
Katerina Siniakova has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Timofeeva 2 of last 5
L S. Bejlek 0–2 W A. Sasnovich 2–0 L A. Li 0–2 L E. Mertens 1–2 W B. Haddad Maia 2–0K. Siniakova 1 of last 5
L K. Rakhimova 1–1 L N. Bartůňková 0–2 W Q. Zheng 2–0 L L. Samsonova 0–2 L J. Pegula 0–2Win probability
M. TimofeevaK. Siniakova
77%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+61 places)
- Dominant on this surface (66% win rate)
- More effective serve
- More titles on this surface
M. Timofeeva
2.75
consensus price, since opening
K. Siniakova
1.44
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Timofeeva
K. Siniakova
Consensus
2.75
1.44
K. Siniakova at 1.44
75%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 69% · value signal