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Match facts
Tournament
Cincinnati
Category
Masters1000
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Andrey Rublev is ranked 52 places higher
Surface
Pablo Carreño Busta wins +12% more on this surface
Serve
Andrey Rublev has the stronger first serve
Recent form
A. Rublev 3 of last 5
L J. Shang 1–2 L L. Van Assche 1–2 W T. Skatov 2–0 W L. Darderi 2–0 W A. Tabilo 2–1P. Carreño Busta 2 of last 5
W T. Machač 2–0 L V. Royer 1–2 L L. Van Assche 1–2 W V. Gaubas 2–0 L C. Ugo Carabelli 1–2Win probability
A. RublevP. Carreño Busta
51%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better on this surface
- More titles on this surface
- Strong in tiebreaks (67%)
A. Rublev
1.50
consensus price, since opening
P. Carreño Busta
2.63
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Bet365
1.50
2.63
Betsson
1.48 ▲
2.65 ▼
Interwetten
1.47 ▲
2.60 ▼
Novibet
1.50 ▲
2.60 ▼
Consensus
1.49 ▼
2.62 ▼
A. Rublev at 1.50
76%
win rate at similar odds (17 matches) · market implies 67% · value signal
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betsson
1.86
1.85 ▲
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▼
Consensus
1.84
1.84
Games Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.75 ▲
1.97 ▼
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Novibet
1.74 ▼
1.98 ▼
Consensus
1.74
1.98
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.30 ▼
1.55
Novibet
2.25 ▼
1.58 ▲
Consensus
2.28
1.57
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Betsson
2.21 ▲
1.59 ▼
Interwetten
2.20 ▲
1.60 ▼
Novibet
2.20 ▲
1.60 ▼
Consensus
2.20
1.60
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.20
4.25
Consensus
1.20
4.25
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Bet365
1.57
2.38
Betsson
1.58 ▲
2.41 ▼
Interwetten
1.55 ▲
2.30 ▼
Novibet
1.57 ▲
2.35 ▼
Consensus
1.57
2.36
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07 ▲
9.00 ▲
Consensus
1.07
9.00
Games Handicap -1.501st Set
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Betsson
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▼
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▼
Consensus
1.85
1.84
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Player O/U Games 11.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.20
4.25
Consensus
1.20
4.25
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Interwetten
1.55 ▲
2.30 ▼
Novibet
1.55 ▲
2.35 ▼
Consensus
1.55
2.33
O/U Games 22.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betsson
1.86
1.85 ▲
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▼
Consensus
1.84
1.84
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Rublev
P. Carreño Busta
Novibet
1.85 ▲
1.90 ▼
Consensus
1.85
1.90
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Novibet
1.87 ▼
1.83 ▲
Consensus
1.87
1.83
Player O/U Games 11.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.20
4.25
Consensus
1.20
4.25