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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Lucia Bronzetti is ranked 67 places higher
Surface
Lucia Bronzetti wins +45% more on this surface
Form
Lucia Bronzetti comes in with better momentum
Serve
Lucia Bronzetti has the stronger first serve
Recent form
L. Bronzetti 3 of last 5
L L. Samson 0–2 W S. Sorribes Tormo 2–1 W A. Ibragimova 2–0 W M. Tona 2–0 L F. Ferro 0–2L. Giovannini 2 of last 5
L L. Stefanini 0–2 L X. Wang 0–2 W D. Astakhova 2–0 W A. Mazzola 2–1 L A. Krueger 0–2Win probability
L. BronzettiL. Giovannini
79%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+67 places)
- Dominant on this surface (45% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
L. Bronzetti
1.11
consensus price, since opening
L. Giovannini
6.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Bronzetti
L. Giovannini
Gamdom
1.13
5.40
Consensus
1.11
6.50
L. Bronzetti at 1.11
100%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 90% · value signal