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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Daniil Medvedev is ranked 90 places higher
Form
Hugo Gaston comes in with better momentum
Serve
Daniil Medvedev has the stronger first serve
Recent form
D. Medvedev 1 of last 5
L M. Damm Jr 0–2 L B. Nakashima 1–2 W M. Trungelliti 2–0 L B. Van de Zandschulp 0–2 L J. Struff 0–3H. Gaston 4 of last 5
W C. Smith 2–1 W A. Ilagan 2–0 W G. I. Justo 2–0 L L. Van Assche 0–2 W J. De Jong 2–0Head to head
Win probability
D. MedvedevH. Gaston
67%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+90 places)
- 3 tiers above
- More effective serve
D. Medvedev
1.08
1.06
▼
consensus price, since opening
H. Gaston
8.00
10.00
▲
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
10bet
1.05
11.00 ▲
1xBet
1.02
26.00
888Sport
1.10
7.00 ▼
Bet365
1.08 ▲
8.00 ▼
Betsson
1.08 ▲
7.23 ▲
Betway
1.10 ▲
8.00 ▼
Interwetten
1.10 ▲
6.75 ▼
Marathon
1.05
7.80 ▼
Novibet
1.11 ▼
7.00 ▲
SportingBet
–
9.25
Unibet
1.09 ▲
9.00 ▼
William Hill
1.10
7.00 ▼
fonbet
1.08 ▲
11.00 ▼
Consensus
1.08 ▼
8.25 ▼
D. Medvedev at 1.06
75%
win rate at similar odds (12 matches) · market implies 94%
O/U Games 30.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90 ▼
2.05
1xBet
1.85
1.83
Marathon
1.65 ▼
1.83
Consensus
1.78 ▼
1.94 ▲
O/U Games 30.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.70
888Sport
1.70
1.73
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.77 ▲
1.90 ▼
Betway
1.83
1.80
Interwetten
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Marathon
1.73
1.94
Novibet
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▼
Unibet
1.93
1.73
Consensus
1.83 ▲
1.81 ▼
Games Handicap -8.50Full Match
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
10bet
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
1xBet
1.91
2.02
888Sport
2.00
1.67 ▼
Bet365
2.00 ▲
1.73 ▼
Betsson
2.14 ▼
1.63 ▲
Betway
1.80
1.91
Interwetten
2.10 ▼
1.65 ▲
Novibet
2.15 ▼
1.63 ▲
Unibet
1.88 ▼
1.65 ▼
William Hill
2.10
1.67
Consensus
2.00 ▼
1.71 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.38
1.50
Betsson
2.07 ▲
1.68 ▼
Betway
2.30
1.60
Marathon
2.13 ▼
1.68 ▲
Novibet
2.25 ▲
1.58 ▲
Unibet
2.24 ▼
1.64 ▲
William Hill
2.00 ▼
1.67
fonbet
2.17 ▼
1.58 ▲
Consensus
2.17
1.63 ▲
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
10bet
1.50
2.25 ▼
1xBet
1.56
2.50
Betsson
1.74 ▼
1.98 ▲
Betway
1.62
2.20
Interwetten
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Novibet
1.71 ▼
1.98 ▲
Unibet
1.63 ▲
2.29 ▼
William Hill
1.60
1.91 ▼
fonbet
1.72 ▲
2.07 ▼
Consensus
1.65 ▼
2.09 ▲
Player O/U Games 17.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.01
19.00 ▼
William Hill
1.02
15.00
Consensus
1.02 ▲
15.00 ▼
O/U Double Faults 9.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.10
5.85
Consensus
1.10
5.85
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.40
1.53
Consensus
2.40
1.53
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
10bet
1.22 ▲
–
1xBet
1.18
4.40
888Sport
1.29 ▲
4.00
Bet365
1.20 ▲
4.50 ▼
Betsson
1.23 ▲
4.02 ▼
Betway
1.25
–
Bwin
1.18
–
Interwetten
1.22 ▲
3.80 ▼
Marathon
1.24 ▲
3.62 ▼
Novibet
1.20 ▼
4.40 ▲
Unibet
1.16 ▲
4.00 ▼
William Hill
1.25
4.33
fonbet
1.18 ▲
5.00 ▼
Consensus
1.22 ▲
3.39 ▲
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.03
9.00 ▼
William Hill
1.02
12.00
Consensus
1.02
10.50 ▼
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
William Hill
4.75
1.15
Consensus
4.75
1.15
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.90
1.83
Marathon
1.91 ▲
1.81 ▲
Novibet
1.87
1.83 ▲
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.82
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.06
7.00
Consensus
1.06
7.00
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
1xBet
1.12
5.20
888Sport
1.25
4.00
Betway
–
4.00 ▼
Interwetten
1.22 ▲
3.80 ▼
Marathon
1.19
4.45 ▼
Novibet
1.20 ▼
4.25 ▲
Unibet
1.23 ▲
3.80 ▼
Consensus
1.18 ▲
4.05 ▲
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.02 ▼
9.50 ▲
Consensus
1.02 ▼
9.50 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.13
4.70
Novibet
1.13
5.25
Consensus
1.13
4.98
Games Handicap -3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
H. Gaston
1xBet
2.41
1.50
Marathon
2.62 ▲
1.43 ▲
Consensus
2.62 ▲
1.43 ▲
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.97
1.75
Marathon
1.99
1.76
Novibet
1.95 ▼
1.75 ▲
Consensus
1.97 ▼
1.76 ▲
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.10
5.80
Consensus
1.10
5.80
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.09
6.20
Marathon
1.11 ▲
5.65 ▼
Consensus
1.11 ▲
5.65 ▼