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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Clara Tauson is ranked 166 places higher
Surface
Clara Tauson wins +65% more on this surface
Form
Clara Tauson comes in with better momentum
Serve
Clara Tauson has the stronger first serve
Recent form
S. Stephens 2 of last 5
L M. Sawangkaew 1–2 L M. Kostyuk 0–2 W A. Potapova 2–0 W S. Kraus 2–0 L B. Bencic 0–2C. Tauson 3 of last 5
L D. Parry 0–2 W E. Alexandrova 2–1 W R. Zarazúa 2–1 L L. Noskova 0–2 W P. Stearns 2–1Win probability
S. StephensC. Tauson
83%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+166 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (65% win rate)
- More effective serve
S. Stephens
3.20
consensus price, since opening
C. Tauson
1.36
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Bet365
3.20
1.36
Betsson
3.11
1.35
Interwetten
3.15
1.35
Novibet
3.25 ▲
1.36
Consensus
3.18 ▼
1.36
C. Tauson at 1.36
53%
win rate at similar odds (15 matches) · market implies 74%
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.88 ▼
1.79 ▲
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Games Handicap 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
2.02 ▼
1.71 ▲
Interwetten
2.05
1.70
Novibet
2.00 ▲
1.72 ▼
Consensus
1.99 ▼
1.73 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85 ▼
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.55
1.46 ▲
Novibet
2.40
1.53
Consensus
2.48 ▼
1.50 ▲
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Betsson
4.80
1.15
Interwetten
4.80
1.15
Consensus
4.80
1.15
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.86 ▼
1.85 ▲
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85 ▲
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.87 ▲
O/U Double Faults 8.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.35
2.95
Consensus
1.35
2.95
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.90
1.38
Consensus
2.90
1.38
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Bet365
2.75
1.44
Betsson
2.70
1.44
Interwetten
2.65
1.43
Novibet
2.75 ▲
1.43
Consensus
2.71
1.44 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.11
5.50
Consensus
1.11
5.50
Games Handicap 1.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Betsson
2.16 ▼
1.62 ▲
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.20
1.60
Consensus
2.19
1.61 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Novibet
1.93
1.75
Consensus
1.93 ▲
1.75 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.92
1.78
Consensus
1.92
1.78
Player O/U Games 10.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.87
1.83
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83
1.87
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Interwetten
2.65
1.43
Novibet
2.70 ▲
1.43
Consensus
2.68 ▲
1.43
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.01
10.50
Consensus
1.01
10.50
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.11
5.50
Consensus
1.11
5.50
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Novibet
2.20
1.62
Consensus
2.20
1.62
Games Handicap 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Stephens
C. Tauson
Betsson
2.04
1.70
Interwetten
2.05
1.70
Novibet
1.95
1.76
Consensus
2.01
1.72
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Novibet
1.98
1.72
Consensus
1.98 ▲
1.72 ▼
Player O/U Games 10.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.86 ▼
1.85 ▲
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85 ▲
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.87 ▲