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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Matteo Berrettini wins +24% more on this surface
Serve
Matteo Berrettini has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Berrettini 2 of last 5
W S. Wawrinka 3–0 L J. Lehečka 1–2 W T. Droguet 2–1 L M. Navone 1–2 L G. Dimitrov 2–3M. Navone 2 of last 5
W N. Djokovic 3–2 L J. Duckworth 0–2 L A. Blockx 0–2 W R. Collignon 2–0 L A. Fils 0–2Head to head
L
Montreal · Aug 2026 · hard
1–2
W
Cagliari, Italy · Apr 2026 · clay
2–0
W
Monte Carlo · Apr 2025 · clay
2–0
W/L from M. Berrettini's perspective.
Win probability
M. BerrettiniM. Navone
60%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Slight statistical edge
M. Berrettini
1.50
consensus price, since opening
M. Navone
2.63
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
10bet
1.50
2.50
888Sport
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
Bet365
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
Betano
1.52
2.55
Betsson
1.52 ▲
2.46 ▼
Betway
1.55 ▲
2.50 ▼
Bwin
1.53 ▲
2.45 ▼
Interwetten
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
Marathon
1.52 ▲
2.51 ▼
Novibet
1.53
2.65
SportingBet
1.53 ▲
2.45 ▼
Unibet
1.54 ▲
2.50 ▲
William Hill
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
fonbet
1.50
2.55 ▼
Consensus
1.53 ▼
2.51 ▼
M. Berrettini at 1.50
46%
win rate at similar odds (13 matches) · market implies 67%
O/U Games 38.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.85
888Sport
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Bet365
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betsson
1.84 ▲
1.82 ▼
Betway
1.83
1.83
Bwin
1.85 ▲
1.83 ▼
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.82 ▼
1.92 ▲
Novibet
1.85
1.83
SportingBet
1.85 ▲
1.83 ▼
Unibet
1.90 ▲
1.88 ▲
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Games Handicap -3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
10bet
1.85
1.83 ▼
888Sport
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bet365
1.83 ▲
1.83 ▼
Betsson
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▼
Betway
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bwin
1.87 ▲
1.80 ▼
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.87
1.83
SportingBet
1.87 ▲
1.80 ▼
Unibet
1.91 ▼
1.86 ▼
William Hill
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.88 ▲
1.82 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
1.83
1.83
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
1.47
2.52
Betsson
1.49
2.46
Betway
1.50
2.40
Marathon
1.49
2.47
Novibet
1.46
2.55
Unibet
1.50
2.50 ▲
William Hill
1.53
2.38
fonbet
1.50
2.45
Consensus
1.49
2.47
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
10bet
3.40
1.29
Betano
3.65
1.28
Betsson
3.35 ▲
1.28 ▼
Betway
3.50
1.29
Interwetten
3.40
1.27
Unibet
3.50 ▲
1.29 ▲
William Hill
3.40 ▲
1.30 ▼
fonbet
3.55 ▲
1.27 ▼
Consensus
3.47 ▲
1.28 ▼
Player O/U Games 18.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.40
2.75
Player O/U Games 19.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.65 ▲
2.11 ▼
Unibet
1.70 ▼
2.07
Consensus
1.68
2.09
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
1.78
1.93
Consensus
1.78
1.93
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
10bet
1.60
2.25
888Sport
1.67 ▲
2.10 ▼
Bet365
1.62 ▲
2.30 ▼
Betano
1.62
2.20
Betsson
1.62 ▲
2.24 ▼
Betway
1.67
2.10
Bwin
1.67
2.10
Interwetten
1.60
2.20
Marathon
1.64 ▼
2.15 ▲
Novibet
1.58
2.30
SportingBet
1.67
2.10
Unibet
1.63 ▲
2.24 ▲
William Hill
1.67 ▲
2.10 ▼
fonbet
1.67 ▲
2.20 ▼
Consensus
1.64 ▲
2.18 ▼
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.03
8.30 ▲
Novibet
1.07
6.75
William Hill
1.06
8.00
fonbet
1.05
7.90 ▲
Consensus
1.05 ▼
7.74 ▲
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
William Hill
5.50
1.13
fonbet
5.40 ▲
1.12
Consensus
5.45 ▲
1.12
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.82 ▼
1.90 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.78
Consensus
1.86 ▼
1.84
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.20
4.33
Consensus
1.20
4.33
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.35
2.93
Consensus
1.35
2.93
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
888Sport
1.62
2.20
Betano
1.62
2.20
Betway
1.62
2.20
Bwin
1.62 ▲
2.20 ▼
Interwetten
1.60
2.20
Marathon
1.61 ▼
2.20 ▲
Novibet
1.62
2.20
SportingBet
1.62 ▲
2.20 ▼
Unibet
1.63
2.24 ▲
William Hill
1.62
2.20
Consensus
1.62 ▲
2.20
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07
6.75
Consensus
1.07
6.75
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Berrettini
M. Navone
Marathon
3.14 ▲
1.31 ▼
Consensus
3.14 ▲
1.31 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.86 ▼
1.86 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.78
Consensus
1.88 ▼
1.82
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.33
3.04
Consensus
1.33
3.04