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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Learner Tien is ranked 296 places higher
Serve
Gael Monfils has the stronger first serve
Recent form
G. Monfils 2 of last 5
W A. Vallejo 3–1 L R. Hijikata 1–2 L L. Tien 1–2 W K. Majchrzak 2–0 L H. Gaston 2–3Win probability
G. MonfilsL. Tien
70%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+296 places)
- 4 tiers above
- Better on this surface
- More titles on this surface
G. Monfils
4.00
consensus price, since opening
L. Tien
1.25
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
10bet
4.33
1.20
888Sport
4.50 ▲
1.20 ▼
Bet365
4.50
1.20
Betsson
4.40 ▲
1.20
Betway
4.50
1.20
Bwin
4.33
1.21
Interwetten
4.50 ▲
1.20 ▼
Marathon
4.35
1.21
SportingBet
4.33
1.21
Unibet
4.30 ▲
1.20
fonbet
4.50 ▲
1.20
Consensus
4.41 ▼
1.20 ▼
L. Tien at 1.25
75%
win rate at similar odds (16 matches) · market implies 80%
O/U Games 35.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.90
Marathon
1.84 ▲
1.87
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.89
Games Handicap 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
10bet
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
888Sport
1.85
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.84
1.86 ▼
Betway
1.80
1.91
Bwin
1.85 ▲
1.83 ▼
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
SportingBet
1.85 ▲
1.83 ▼
Unibet
1.84
1.86 ▼
Consensus
1.84 ▲
1.86 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.75 ▲
1.97 ▼
Betway
1.70
2.05
Marathon
1.69
2.07
Unibet
1.76 ▲
1.99 ▼
fonbet
1.72 ▲
2.05 ▼
Consensus
1.72
2.03
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
Unibet
12.00 ▲
1.00
fonbet
11.00 ▲
1.02
Consensus
11.50 ▲
1.01
Player O/U Games 14.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.70
2.03
Unibet
1.78
1.96
Consensus
1.74
2.00
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
10bet
3.20
1.33
888Sport
3.00
1.36
Bet365
3.40
1.33
Betsson
3.16 ▲
1.34
Betway
3.00
1.36
Bwin
2.95
1.36
Interwetten
3.05
1.33
Marathon
2.73
1.41
SportingBet
2.95
1.36
Unibet
3.10
1.34 ▲
fonbet
3.15 ▲
1.35 ▼
Consensus
3.06
1.35
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
fonbet
1.01
15.00
Consensus
1.01
15.00
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
fonbet
6.20
1.09
Consensus
6.20
1.09
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.90
1.82
Consensus
1.90
1.82
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.56
2.27
Consensus
1.56
2.27
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
888Sport
3.00
1.36
Betway
3.00
1.36
Bwin
3.10
1.34
Interwetten
3.05 ▲
1.33 ▼
Marathon
2.98 ▲
1.35 ▼
SportingBet
3.10
1.34
Unibet
3.05
1.35 ▲
Consensus
3.04 ▲
1.35
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.37
2.80 ▼
Consensus
1.37 ▲
2.80 ▼
Games Handicap 0.502nd Set
Bookmaker
G. Monfils
L. Tien
Marathon
2.93
1.35
Consensus
2.93
1.35
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.95
1.78
Consensus
1.95
1.78
Player O/U Games 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.59 ▲
2.21 ▼
Consensus
1.59 ▲
2.21 ▼