← All tennis
Match facts
Tournament
Genoa, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Hugo Dellien is ranked 325 places higher
Surface
Felipe Meligeni Alves wins +12% more on this surface
Form
Hugo Dellien comes in with better momentum
Serve
Felipe Meligeni Alves has the stronger first serve
Recent form
H. Dellien 4 of last 5
L F. Mena 0–2 W P. Vives Marcos 2–0 W M. Damas 2–0 W G. A. Bailly 2–0 W F. Ferreira Silva 2–0F. Meligeni Alves 2 of last 5
L A. Sanchez Quilez 0–2 L D. Svrčina 0–2 L M. Kouamé 0–2 W D. Blanch 2–1 W L. Pavlović 2–0Head to head
Win probability
H. DellienF. Meligeni Alves
61%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+325 places)
- Better recent form
- Better on break points
H. Dellien
1.50
consensus price, since opening
F. Meligeni Alves
2.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
H. Dellien
F. Meligeni Alves
Gamdom
1.45
2.75
Consensus
1.50
2.50
H. Dellien at 1.50
86%
win rate at similar odds (14 matches) · market implies 67% · value signal