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Match facts
Tournament
Sevilla, Spain
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Gonzalo Bueno is ranked 175 places higher
Surface
Gonzalo Bueno wins +17% more on this surface
Form
Carlos Sanchez Jover comes in with better momentum
Recent form
C. Sanchez Jover 4 of last 5
W P. Vives Marcos 2–1 W S. Fita Juan 2–0 L G. Piraino 0–2 W G. Lazarov 2–0 W D. Galan 1–0G. Bueno 2 of last 5
L M. Schönhaus 0–2 W J. Reis da Silva 2–0 L B. Harris 0–2 L V. Royer 0–2 W E. Winter 2–0Head to head
Win probability
C. Sanchez JoverG. Bueno
66%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+175 places)
- Dominant on this surface (56% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
- Strong in tiebreaks (57%)
C. Sanchez Jover
2.38
consensus price, since opening
G. Bueno
1.53
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
C. Sanchez Jover
G. Bueno
Gamdom
2.32
1.62
Consensus
2.38
1.53
G. Bueno at 1.53
75%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 65% · value signal