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Match facts
Tournament
Genoa, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Tom Gentzsch is ranked 277 places higher
Surface
Tom Gentzsch wins +62% more on this surface
Serve
Tom Gentzsch has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Giunta 3 of last 5
W O. Krutykh 2–1 W G. Oradini 2–0 L D. Obradović 1–2 W F. Agamenone 2–0 L F. Romano 0–2T. Gentzsch 4 of last 5
L F. Passaro 0–2 W P. Martin Tiffon 2–0 W J. Kym 2–0 W Z. Piros 2–0 W H. Squire 2–0Win probability
M. GiuntaT. Gentzsch
70%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+277 places)
- Dominant on this surface (62% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
M. Giunta
3.00
consensus price, since opening
T. Gentzsch
1.36
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Giunta
T. Gentzsch
Gamdom
2.85
1.42
Consensus
3.00
1.36
T. Gentzsch at 1.36
80%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 74% · value signal