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Match facts
Tournament
Genoa, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Andrea Pellegrino is ranked 303 places higher
Surface
Andrea Pellegrino wins +22% more on this surface
Serve
Mika Petković has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Petković 2 of last 5
L F. Arnaboldi 1–2 W D. Salazar Martinez 2–0 L T. Monteiro 1–2 W T. Torres 2–1 L F. Iannaccone 0–2A. Pellegrino 2 of last 5
L C. Smith 1–2 L Z. Bergs 0–2 W N. Basavareddy 2–1 L T. Monteiro 0–2 W C. A. Caniato 2–0Win probability
M. PetkovićA. Pellegrino
74%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+303 places)
- Dominant on this surface (62% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
- Better on break points
M. Petković
2.75
consensus price, since opening
A. Pellegrino
1.40
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Petković
A. Pellegrino
Consensus
2.75
1.40
A. Pellegrino at 1.40
62%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 71%