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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Elena Rybakina is ranked 119 places higher
Surface
Elena Rybakina wins +21% more on this surface
H2H
Elena Rybakina has won 100% of their meetings
Recent form
Q. Zheng 5 of last 5
W I. Świątek 2–0 W M. Keys 2–1 W Y. Putintseva 2–1 W K. Liutova 2–1 W E. Pridankina 2–1E. Rybakina 4 of last 5
W N. Osaka 2–0 W Y. Starodubtseva 2–0 W J. Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 W T. Frodin 2–0 L I. Świątek 0–0Head to head
L
WTA 1000 Madrid · Apr 2026 · clay
1–2
L
Doha · Feb 2026 · hard
1–2
W/L from Q. Zheng's perspective.
Win probability
Q. ZhengE. Rybakina
81%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+119 places)
- 4 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (78% win rate)
- More effective serve
Q. Zheng
3.40
consensus price, since opening
E. Rybakina
1.33
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
10bet
3.40 ▲
1.30 ▼
1xBet
3.45 ▲
1.33 ▼
888Sport
3.30 ▲
1.33 ▼
Bet365
3.40 ▲
1.33 ▼
Betano
3.45 ▲
1.32
Betsson
3.29 ▲
1.32
Betway
3.25
1.36
Bwin
3.40 ▲
1.33 ▼
Interwetten
3.30
1.33
Marathon
3.35 ▲
1.33
Novibet
3.50 ▲
1.33 ▼
SportingBet
3.40 ▲
1.33 ▼
Unibet
3.35 ▲
1.33
William Hill
3.30 ▲
1.33 ▼
fonbet
3.40 ▲
1.32 ▼
Consensus
3.37 ▼
1.33 ▼
E. Rybakina at 1.33
74%
win rate at similar odds (19 matches) · market implies 75%
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.83 ▲
1.90 ▼
1xBet
1.86 ▲
1.91 ▼
Marathon
1.85
1.92
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.90 ▼
Games Handicap 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
10bet
1.95 ▼
1.80 ▲
1xBet
2.00 ▲
1.85 ▼
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Bet365
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betsson
1.95 ▲
1.76 ▼
Betway
1.91
1.80
Bwin
1.98 ▲
1.72 ▼
Interwetten
1.95 ▲
1.75 ▼
Novibet
2.00 ▼
1.71 ▼
SportingBet
1.98 ▲
1.72 ▼
Unibet
2.01 ▲
1.81 ▲
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.96 ▲
1.77 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.73
2.00
1xBet
1.89
1.89
Betsson
1.73 ▼
1.99 ▲
Marathon
1.89
1.89
Unibet
1.78
2.05
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.78 ▼
1.98 ▲
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.52 ▲
1.51 ▼
Betsson
2.50
1.47 ▼
Betway
2.40 ▲
1.50 ▼
Marathon
2.52 ▲
1.51 ▼
Novibet
2.45
1.50
Unibet
2.53 ▲
1.48 ▲
William Hill
2.25 ▲
1.60 ▼
fonbet
2.50 ▲
1.50 ▼
Consensus
2.49 ▲
1.50 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
10bet
5.50 ▲
1.13 ▼
1xBet
5.85 ▲
1.13
Betano
6.40 ▲
1.12
Betsson
5.00
1.13 ▼
Betway
6.00
1.12
Bwin
5.25 ▲
1.11 ▼
Interwetten
6.00 ▲
1.12
SportingBet
5.25 ▲
1.11 ▼
Unibet
5.25 ▲
1.13
William Hill
6.00
1.11
fonbet
5.60 ▲
1.11 ▼
Consensus
5.61 ▲
1.12
Player O/U Games 9.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.67
2.16
Marathon
1.67
2.16
Unibet
1.70 ▲
2.13 ▲
William Hill
1.62 ▲
2.20 ▼
Consensus
1.68 ▲
2.15 ▼
O/U Double Faults 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.40
2.75
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
2.67
1.42
Novibet
2.65 ▼
1.43 ▲
Consensus
2.66 ▼
1.43 ▲
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
10bet
2.65 ▲
1.44
1xBet
2.71 ▲
1.45 ▼
888Sport
2.63 ▲
1.44 ▼
Bet365
2.75
1.44
Betano
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Betsson
2.76 ▲
1.43 ▼
Betway
2.75 ▲
1.40 ▼
Bwin
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Interwetten
2.70 ▲
1.45
Marathon
2.64 ▼
1.47 ▲
Novibet
2.75
1.43
SportingBet
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Unibet
2.70 ▲
1.45
William Hill
2.63 ▲
1.44 ▼
fonbet
2.85 ▲
1.43 ▼
Consensus
2.75 ▲
1.43 ▼
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.01
31.00
William Hill
1.01
21.00
Consensus
1.01
31.00 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
William Hill
6.00 ▲
1.11 ▼
fonbet
6.80 ▲
1.07 ▼
Consensus
6.80 ▲
1.07 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.83 ▲
1.95 ▼
Marathon
1.83 ▲
1.95 ▼
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.85 ▲
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.90 ▼
Player O/U Games 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.20 ▲
4.33 ▼
Consensus
1.20 ▲
4.33 ▼
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
1xBet
2.90 ▲
1.40 ▼
888Sport
2.63
1.44
Betano
2.80
1.40
Betway
2.75
1.40
Bwin
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Interwetten
2.70
1.45
Marathon
2.82 ▼
1.42 ▲
Novibet
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
SportingBet
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Unibet
2.83 ▲
1.42
William Hill
2.63
1.44
Consensus
2.80 ▲
1.41 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.05
8.40 ▼
Marathon
1.05
8.40 ▼
Novibet
1.10 ▼
6.00 ▲
Consensus
1.07 ▲
7.20 ▼
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Q. Zheng
E. Rybakina
1xBet
3.70 ▲
1.25 ▼
Marathon
3.70 ▲
1.25 ▼
Consensus
3.70 ▲
1.25 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.89
1.89
Marathon
1.89
1.89
Novibet
1.93 ▼
1.75 ▲
Consensus
1.90 ▼
1.84 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.45 ▲
2.67 ▼
Marathon
1.45 ▲
2.67 ▼
Consensus
1.45 ▲
2.67 ▼