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Match facts
Tournament
Bari, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Round 1
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins +50% more on this surface
Form
Svyatoslav Gulin comes in with better momentum
Serve
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has the stronger first serve
Recent form
L. Alvarez Valdes 1 of last 5
L R. Noguchi 1–2 L E. Winter 1–2 L J. Varillas 1–2 W V. Aboian 2–1 L H. Casanova 0–2S. Gulin 3 of last 5
L P. Lagutin 0–1 W R. Tabata 2–0 L L. Neumayer 0–2 W A. Martin 2–0 W R. Molleker 2–0Win probability
L. Alvarez ValdesS. Gulin
58%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better recent form
L. Alvarez Valdes
3.50
consensus price, since opening
S. Gulin
1.29
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Alvarez Valdes
S. Gulin
Gamdom
3.40
1.29
Consensus
3.50
1.29
S. Gulin at 1.29
100%
win rate at similar odds (6 matches) · market implies 78% · value signal