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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Round 1
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Marko Topo is ranked 138 places higher
Surface
Marko Topo wins +66% more on this surface
Serve
Marko Topo has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. González Fernandez 2 of last 5
L N. Mashtakov 0–2 L P. Lagutin 0–2 L R. Pacheco Mendez 0–2 W M. Krueger 2–0 W M. Kuhar 2–0Head to head
Win probability
M. González FernandezM. Topo
71%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+138 places)
- Dominant on this surface (66% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
M. González Fernandez
3.75
consensus price, since opening
M. Topo
1.25
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. González Fernandez
M. Topo
Gamdom
3.40
1.29
Consensus
3.75
1.25
M. Topo at 1.25
50%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 80%