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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Round 1
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Ivan Marrero Curbelo is ranked 146 places higher
Surface
Luca Potenza wins +17% more on this surface
Recent form
I. Marrero Curbelo 1 of last 5
L M. Kaśnikowski 1–2 L O. Paldanius 0–1 L A. Andrade 0–2 W B. Bicknell 2–1 L L. Andrade Da Silva 0–2L. Potenza 2 of last 5
L M. Echargui 1–2 L F. Bass 1–2 L I. Montes-de la Torre 1–2 W E. Butvilas 2–1 W J. Schwaerzler 2–0Win probability
I. Marrero CurbeloL. Potenza
53%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Dominant on this surface (50% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
I. Marrero Curbelo
2.25
consensus price, since opening
L. Potenza
1.57
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
I. Marrero Curbelo
L. Potenza
Gamdom
2.39
1.54
Consensus
2.25
1.57