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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Jesper De Jong is ranked 121 places higher
Form
Jesper De Jong comes in with better momentum
Serve
Jesper De Jong has the stronger first serve
Recent form
D. Jorda Sanchis 1 of last 5
L D. Prižmić 0–2 W H. Wendelken 2–0 L L. Poullain 0–2 L L. Potenza 1–2 L D. Lajović 0–2J. De Jong 3 of last 5
L H. Mayot 1–2 W A. Guerrieri 2–1 W R. Bertola 2–0 W S. Heredia 2–0 L Z. Bergs 1–3Win probability
D. Jorda SanchisJ. De Jong
69%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+121 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
D. Jorda Sanchis
4.50
consensus price, since opening
J. De Jong
1.18
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
D. Jorda Sanchis
J. De Jong
Gamdom
4.40
1.17
Consensus
4.50
1.18
J. De Jong at 1.18
88%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 85% · value signal