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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Damir Džumhur is ranked 278 places higher
Surface
Moez Echargui wins +16% more on this surface
Form
Moez Echargui comes in with better momentum
Serve
Moez Echargui has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Echargui 3 of last 5
L D. Masur 1–2 W K. Poling 2–0 W L. Potenza 2–1 L N. Budkov Kjaer 1–2 W B. Harris 2–1D. Džumhur 1 of last 5
L H. Hurkacz 1–3 L M. Erhard 0–2 W G. Blancaneaux 2–0 L H. Gaston 0–0 L D. Mérida 1–2Head to head
Win probability
M. EcharguiD. Džumhur
53%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+278 places)
- 2 tiers above
M. Echargui
2.63
consensus price, since opening
D. Džumhur
1.44
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Echargui
D. Džumhur
Gamdom
2.60
1.44
Consensus
2.63
1.44
D. Džumhur at 1.44
43%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 69%