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Match facts
Tournament
Cali, Colombia
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Matias Soto is ranked 235 places higher
Surface
Matias Soto wins +47% more on this surface
Serve
Samuel Heredia has the stronger first serve
Recent form
S. Heredia 2 of last 5
L F. Zeballos 1–2 L E. Ribeiro 0–2 L J. Schiessl 0–2 W J. S. Osorio 2–1 W L. Storck Franca 2–1Win probability
M. SotoS. Heredia
76%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+235 places)
- Dominant on this surface (47% win rate)
- Better on break points
- Strong in tiebreaks (64%)
M. Soto
1.25
consensus price, since opening
S. Heredia
3.75
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
10bet
1.22 ▼
3.80 ▲
1xBet
1.24 ▲
3.65 ▼
888Sport
1.25
3.75
Betsson
1.23 ▲
3.70 ▼
Betway
1.22 ▼
3.80 ▲
Bwin
1.25
3.60
Interwetten
1.22
3.80
Novibet
1.25
3.75
SportingBet
1.25
3.60
Unibet
1.24 ▲
3.80 ▼
Vistabet
1.25
3.60
William Hill
1.25
3.75
fonbet
1.23
3.70
Consensus
1.24 ▼
3.72 ▼
M. Soto at 1.25
80%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 80%
O/U Games 20.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.88
1.80 ▼
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.88 ▼
1.83 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.80
Unibet
1.89
1.84 ▲
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.89 ▼
1.81 ▲
Games Handicap -4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
1xBet
1.75
1.94
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Novibet
1.72
2.00
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.77
1.94
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.86
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.84
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.75
1.40
1xBet
2.60 ▼
1.41 ▲
Betsson
2.75 ▼
1.39
Unibet
2.75 ▼
1.40
William Hill
2.75
1.40
fonbet
2.70
1.40
Consensus
2.72 ▼
1.40
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
1xBet
1.72 ▲
1.95 ▼
Betsson
1.67 ▲
2.08 ▼
Interwetten
1.65
2.10
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Unibet
1.67 ▲
2.09 ▼
William Hill
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
fonbet
1.70
2.02
Consensus
1.68
2.06
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.12
5.50
William Hill
1.11
6.00
Consensus
1.12 ▲
5.75 ▼
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
10bet
1.33
3.00
1xBet
1.37 ▲
2.81 ▼
888Sport
1.36
3.00
Betsson
1.33 ▲
3.05 ▼
Betway
1.30
3.20
Interwetten
1.33
3.05
Novibet
1.33
3.25
Unibet
1.33 ▲
3.00 ▼
William Hill
1.36
3.00
fonbet
1.32
3.05 ▼
Consensus
1.34 ▲
3.04 ▼
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
fonbet
1.12
5.00
Consensus
1.12
5.00
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.39
2.75
Novibet
1.50
2.50
William Hill
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.43
2.67
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
William Hill
6.00
1.11
Consensus
6.00
1.11
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.93 ▲
1.74 ▼
Consensus
1.93 ▲
1.74 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.10
6.50
Consensus
1.10
6.50
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
1xBet
1.31
3.10
888Sport
1.36
3.00
Betway
1.30
3.20
Interwetten
1.30
3.20 ▼
Novibet
1.30 ▲
3.20 ▼
Unibet
1.30 ▲
3.20 ▼
William Hill
1.36
3.00
Consensus
1.32
3.13 ▼
O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.18
1.56
Consensus
2.18
1.56
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Soto
S. Heredia
1xBet
1.97 ▲
1.69 ▼
Consensus
1.97 ▲
1.69 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.97
1.71
Consensus
1.97
1.71
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.23
3.56 ▼
Consensus
1.23 ▲
3.56 ▼