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Match facts
Tournament
Florence, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Final
Surface
clay
Recent form
M. Donald 4 of last 5
W G. Pennaforti 2–0 L J. Martin Manzano 0–2 W M. Krumich 2–1 W L. Giustino 1–1 W O. Wallin 2–0J. Cosano 3 of last 5
W J. Landini 2–0 L R. Nijboer 0–2 L O. Krutykh 1–2 W N. Barrientos 1–0 W H. Maia 2–0Win probability
M. DonaldJ. Cosano
53%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better on this surface
- Better on break points
M. Donald
1.40
consensus price, since opening
J. Cosano
2.75
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Donald
J. Cosano
Gamdom
1.50
2.48
Consensus
1.40
2.75
M. Donald at 1.40
100%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 71% · value signal