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Match facts
Tournament
Almaty
Category
Atp250
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Alexander Bublik is ranked 478 places higher
Surface
Alexander Bublik wins +56% more on this surface
Serve
Alexander Bublik has the stronger first serve
Recent form
A. Bublik 2 of last 5
L A. Zverev 1–2 W B. Nakashima 2–1 W T. Machač 2–0 L J. Menšik 0–2 L T. Paul 2–3R16P6
Win probability
A. BublikR16P6
89%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+478 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (56% win rate)
- More effective serve