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Match facts
Tournament
Almaty
Category
Atp250
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Daniil Medvedev is ranked 104 places higher
Serve
Daniil Medvedev has the stronger first serve
Recent form
D. Medvedev 4 of last 5
L R. Jódar 0–2 W T. Paul 2–1 W S. Tsitsipas 2–0 W D. Svrčina 2–0 W J. Struff 2–1S. Shimabukuro 2 of last 5
W R. Safiullin 2–1 L M. Kecmanović 0–2 L D. Shapovalov 0–2 L H. Gaston 0–2 W A. Shepp 2–0Win probability
D. MedvedevS. Shimabukuro
83%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+104 places)
- 4 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
D. Medvedev
1.06
consensus price, since opening
S. Shimabukuro
10.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
D. Medvedev
S. Shimabukuro
Gamdom
1.06
7.60
Consensus
1.06
10.00
D. Medvedev at 1.06
83%
win rate at similar odds (18 matches) · market implies 94%