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Match facts
Tournament
Guangzhou, China
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Andre Ilagan is ranked 228 places higher
Form
Khumoyun Sultanov comes in with better momentum
Serve
Khumoyun Sultanov has the stronger first serve
Recent form
K. Sultanov 3 of last 5
W L. Castelnuovo 2–0 W S. Purtseladze 2–0 W X. Yang 2–0 L H. Heck 0–2 L E. Aguiard 1–2A. Ilagan 2 of last 5
W M. Alkaya 2–1 L Y. Watanuki 0–2 L N. Basilashvili 1–2 L L. Harris 0–2 W M. Sharipov 2–0Win probability
K. SultanovA. Ilagan
64%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+228 places)
- Better on this surface
- Better on break points
K. Sultanov
2.50
consensus price, since opening
A. Ilagan
1.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
K. Sultanov
A. Ilagan
Gamdom
2.70
1.42
Consensus
2.50
1.50
A. Ilagan at 1.50
71%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 67% · value signal