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Match facts
Tournament
Florence, Italy
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Lorenzo Giustino is ranked 269 places higher
Surface
Lorenzo Giustino wins +36% more on this surface
Form
Yanaki Milev comes in with better momentum
Serve
Lorenzo Giustino has the stronger first serve
Recent form
Y. Milev 3 of last 5
W M. Jones 2–0 W P. Lagutin 2–0 L F. Iannaccone 1–2 W M. Chazal 2–0 L F. Passaro 0–2L. Giustino 3 of last 5
L Z. Piros 1–2 W M. Vrbensky 2–0 W A. Pellegrino 2–1 L C. Sanchez Jover 1–2 W C. Langmo 2–0Win probability
Y. MilevL. Giustino
58%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+269 places)
- Dominant on this surface (36% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
Y. Milev
2.50
consensus price, since opening
L. Giustino
1.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
10bet
2.38
1.53
1xBet
2.42
1.50
888Sport
2.38
1.53
Betsson
2.40
1.51
Betway
2.40
1.50
Bwin
2.35
1.53
Interwetten
2.40
1.50
Novibet
2.40
1.53
SportingBet
2.35
1.53
Unibet
2.47
1.52
Vistabet
2.35
1.53
William Hill
2.38
1.53
fonbet
2.35
1.52
Consensus
2.39 ▼
1.52 ▼
L. Giustino at 1.50
80%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 67% · value signal
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.95
1.80
1xBet
1.86
1.80
Consensus
1.91
1.80
Games Handicap 3.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
10bet
1.83
1.90
1xBet
1.79
1.87
Consensus
1.81
1.89
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.38
1.53
1xBet
2.30
1.52
Betsson
2.39
1.51
Unibet
2.40
1.52
William Hill
2.30
1.57
fonbet
2.35
1.53
Consensus
2.35
1.53
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
1xBet
3.92
1.19
Bwin
3.80
1.21
Interwetten
3.80
1.22
SportingBet
3.80
1.21
Unibet
3.90
1.21
Vistabet
3.80
1.21
William Hill
4.00
1.22
fonbet
3.95
1.20
Consensus
3.87
1.21
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.62
2.21
William Hill
1.62
2.20
Consensus
1.62
2.21
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
10bet
2.25
1.57
1xBet
2.17
1.60
888Sport
2.30
1.57
Betsson
2.23
1.59
Betway
2.30
1.55
Bwin
2.20
1.57
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.25
1.57
SportingBet
2.20
1.57
Unibet
2.25
1.60
Vistabet
2.20
1.57
William Hill
2.30
1.57
fonbet
2.30
1.55
Consensus
2.24
1.58
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.29
3.30
Novibet
1.31
3.40
William Hill
1.36
3.00
Consensus
1.32
3.23
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
William Hill
4.50
1.17
Consensus
4.50
1.17
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.86
1.80
Consensus
1.86
1.80
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.44
2.63
Consensus
1.44
2.63
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
1xBet
2.23
1.57
888Sport
2.20
1.62
Betway
2.20
1.60
Bwin
2.20
1.57
Interwetten
2.30
1.57
Novibet
2.28
1.56
SportingBet
2.20
1.57
Unibet
2.30
1.58
Vistabet
2.20
1.57
William Hill
2.20
1.62
Consensus
2.23
1.58
O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.87
1.77
Consensus
1.87
1.77
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Y. Milev
L. Giustino
1xBet
1.87
1.77
Consensus
1.87
1.77
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.91
1.76
Consensus
1.91
1.76
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.88
1.78
Consensus
1.88
1.78