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Match facts
Tournament
Lyon
Category
Atp250
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Lorenzo Musetti is ranked 168 places higher
Surface
Lorenzo Musetti wins +59% more on this surface
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Kouamé 2 of last 5
W L. Sonego 2–0 L N. Budkov Kjaer 0–2 W D. Dedura 2–0 L A. Walton 0–2 L A. Muller 0–2Win probability
M. KouaméL. Musetti
90%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+168 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (59% win rate)
- More effective serve
M. Kouamé
3.75
consensus price, since opening
L. Musetti
1.28
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
10bet
3.40
1.29
1xBet
3.45
1.31
888Sport
3.30
1.33
Bet365
3.50
1.30
Betsson
3.45
1.30
Betway
3.50
1.30
Bwin
3.40
1.30
Interwetten
3.50
1.30
Novibet
3.55
1.30
SportingBet
3.40
1.30
Unibet
3.40
1.29
Vistabet
3.40
1.30
William Hill
3.30
1.33
fonbet
3.50
1.28
Consensus
3.43 ▼
1.30 ▼
L. Musetti at 1.28
93%
win rate at similar odds (15 matches) · market implies 78% · value signal
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.87
1.86
888Sport
1.85
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.82
1.89
Betway
1.85
1.85
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.82
1.88
Unibet
1.81
1.89
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.83
1.87
Games Handicap 4.00Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
1xBet
1.87
1.84
Consensus
1.87
1.84
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.75
1.40
1xBet
2.53
1.47
Betsson
2.50
1.47
Betway
2.40
1.45
Unibet
2.53
1.48
William Hill
2.50
1.50
fonbet
2.55
1.48
Consensus
2.54
1.46
Player O/U Games 9.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.80
1.90
1xBet
1.75
1.96
Novibet
1.75
2.00
Unibet
1.75
2.01
William Hill
1.73
2.00
Consensus
1.76
1.97
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
10bet
2.80
1.40
1xBet
2.69
1.43
888Sport
2.63
1.44
Bet365
3.20
1.36
Betsson
2.85
1.39
Betway
2.75
1.40
Interwetten
2.85
1.37
Novibet
2.85
1.39
Unibet
2.85
1.40
William Hill
2.63
1.44
fonbet
3.00
1.40
Consensus
2.83
1.40
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
William Hill
4.75
1.15
Consensus
4.75
1.15
Player O/U Games 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.22
4.00
Consensus
1.22
4.00
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
1xBet
2.92
1.37
888Sport
2.75
1.40
Betway
2.90
1.36
Interwetten
2.75
1.40
Novibet
2.80
1.40
Unibet
2.80
1.40
William Hill
2.75
1.40
Consensus
2.81
1.39
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Kouamé
L. Musetti
1xBet
2.29
1.55
Consensus
2.29
1.55
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.03
1.72
Consensus
2.03
1.72