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Match facts
Tournament
Guangzhou, China
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Zhizhen Zhang is ranked 110 places higher
Surface
Yi Zhou wins +26% more on this surface
Form
Yi Zhou comes in with better momentum
Recent form
Y. Zhou 3 of last 5
W K. Matsuda 2–0 L H. Hurkacz 1–2 W L. Musetti 2–1 W M. Bellucci 2–1 L P. Carreño Busta 0–2Win probability
Z. ZhangY. Zhou
57%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+110 places)
Z. Zhang
2.00
consensus price, since opening
Y. Zhou
1.73
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
Z. Zhang
Y. Zhou
1xBet
1.86
1.82
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.87
1.87
Unibet
1.87
1.87
fonbet
1.88
1.88
Consensus
1.86 ▼
1.86 ▼
Y. Zhou at 1.73
60%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 58% · value signal
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.34
1.53
Unibet
2.34
1.54
Consensus
2.34
1.54
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Z. Zhang
Y. Zhou
Interwetten
2.85
1.37
Unibet
2.88
1.37
Consensus
2.87
1.37
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
Z. Zhang
Y. Zhou
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83
1.83
Unibet
1.85
1.85
fonbet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
Z. Zhang
Y. Zhou
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85