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Match facts
Tournament
Osaka
Category
Wta250
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
H2H
Zeynep Sönmez has won 100% of their meetings
Recent form
Z. Sönmez 3 of last 5
W M. Joint 2–1 L Y. Putintseva 1–2 W S. Kraus 2–0 W A. Zakharova 2–0 L M. Inglis 0–2Head to head
L
Wimbledon, Women · Jun 2026 · grass
1–2
L
Merida · Feb 2026 · hard
1–2
W/L from A. Li's perspective.
Win probability
A. LiZ. Sönmez
64%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+38 places)
- Better on this surface
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
A. Li
1.53
1.53
▼
consensus price, since opening
Z. Sönmez
2.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Li
Z. Sönmez
Consensus
1.53
2.50
A. Li at 1.53
71%
win rate at similar odds (14 matches) · market implies 65% · value signal
Z. Sönmez at 2.50
0%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 40%