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Match facts
Tournament
Basel
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Denis Shapovalov is ranked 184 places higher
Recent form
R. Bertola 3 of last 5
W M. Brunold 2–0 W J. Paul 2–0 L D. Goffin 1–2 L F. Cinà 1–2 W G. Mpetshi Perricard 2–1D. Shapovalov 3 of last 5
L C. Alcaraz 0–1 W A. Tabilo 2–1 W S. Shimabukuro 2–0 L H. Hurkacz 1–2 W A. Mannarino 2–1Win probability
R. BertolaD. Shapovalov
67%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+184 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- More titles on this surface
R. Bertola
4.00
consensus price, since opening
D. Shapovalov
1.25
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
10bet
3.20 ▲
1.33 ▲
1xBet
3.31 ▲
1.35
888Sport
3.30 ▲
1.33 ▼
Bet365
3.40 ▲
1.33 ▼
Betano
3.45 ▲
1.32 ▼
Betsson
3.35 ▲
1.32 ▼
Bwin
3.25 ▼
1.33 ▲
Interwetten
3.30 ▼
1.33 ▲
Novibet
3.45 ▲
1.33 ▼
SportingBet
3.25 ▼
1.33 ▲
Unibet
3.45 ▲
1.32 ▼
Vistabet
3.25 ▼
1.33 ▲
William Hill
3.30 ▲
1.33 ▼
fonbet
3.35 ▲
1.33 ▼
Consensus
3.33 ▼
1.33 ▼
D. Shapovalov at 1.25
75%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 80%
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
888Sport
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Bet365
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betsson
1.84 ▼
1.87 ▲
Bwin
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.87 ▲
SportingBet
1.83
1.83
Vistabet
1.83
1.83
William Hill
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.86 ▲
O/U Games 23.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.85 ▲
1xBet
1.92 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.83 ▲
Games Handicap 3.00Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
10bet
1.95 ▲
1.75 ▼
1xBet
1.94 ▲
1.78 ▼
Consensus
1.95 ▲
1.77 ▼
Games Handicap 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
10bet
1.75
1.95
1xBet
1.85
2.00
888Sport
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Bet365
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Betsson
1.78 ▼
1.93 ▲
Bwin
1.80
1.87
Interwetten
1.75 ▼
1.95 ▲
Novibet
1.78 ▼
1.93 ▲
SportingBet
1.80
1.87
Vistabet
1.80
1.87
William Hill
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.79 ▲
1.92 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.86 ▲
1.85
Unibet
1.86
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▲
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.25 ▼
1.57 ▲
1xBet
2.39 ▼
1.52 ▲
Betano
2.40 ▲
1.53 ▼
Betsson
2.37 ▲
1.52 ▼
Novibet
2.40 ▲
1.53 ▼
Unibet
2.48 ▲
1.50 ▼
William Hill
2.25 ▲
1.60 ▼
fonbet
2.45 ▲
1.53 ▲
Consensus
2.37 ▲
1.54 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
10bet
6.00 ▼
1.11 ▲
1xBet
5.50 ▲
1.12
Betano
6.50 ▲
1.12
Betsson
5.40 ▲
1.12
Bwin
5.25 ▼
1.11 ▲
Interwetten
5.50 ▼
1.12 ▲
SportingBet
5.25 ▼
1.11 ▲
Unibet
5.75 ▲
1.13 ▼
Vistabet
5.25 ▼
1.11 ▲
William Hill
6.00 ▲
1.11 ▼
fonbet
5.40 ▲
1.11 ▼
Consensus
5.62 ▲
1.12 ▲
Player O/U Games 9.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.70
2.08
William Hill
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.68
2.09
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.68 ▲
2.06 ▼
Novibet
1.70 ▲
2.08 ▼
Unibet
1.73 ▲
2.07 ▼
William Hill
1.70 ▲
2.05 ▼
Consensus
1.70 ▲
2.07 ▼
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
1.90 ▲
1.83 ▼
Novibet
1.90
1.80 ▼
fonbet
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.81 ▼
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
10bet
2.65 ▲
1.44
1xBet
2.59 ▲
1.45 ▼
888Sport
2.63 ▲
1.44 ▼
Bet365
2.75 ▼
1.44 ▲
Betano
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Betsson
2.75 ▲
1.42 ▼
Bwin
2.60
1.45
Interwetten
3.10 ▲
1.40 ▼
Novibet
2.75 ▲
1.43 ▼
SportingBet
2.60
1.45
Unibet
2.75 ▲
1.44 ▼
Vistabet
2.60
1.45
William Hill
2.63 ▲
1.44 ▼
fonbet
2.70 ▲
1.45 ▼
Consensus
2.71 ▲
1.44 ▼
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.00
13.00
Consensus
–
13.00
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.05
11.00
1xBet
1.03
10.00 ▲
Novibet
1.04
8.50
fonbet
1.03
10.00
Consensus
1.04
9.88 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
William Hill
6.00 ▲
1.11 ▼
fonbet
6.50 ▲
1.08
Consensus
6.25 ▲
1.10 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.70 ▲
2.05 ▼
Betsson
1.86 ▲
1.85
Novibet
1.75
1.95
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.73 ▲
2.00
Player O/U Games 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.15
4.75
Consensus
1.15
4.75
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.30 ▲
3.40 ▼
Consensus
1.30 ▲
3.40 ▼
Player O/U Games 10.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.72
2.05
Consensus
1.72
2.05
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
1xBet
2.73 ▲
1.41 ▼
888Sport
2.75 ▲
1.40 ▼
Betano
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
Bwin
2.75 ▼
1.42 ▲
Interwetten
2.65 ▼
1.43 ▲
Novibet
2.80 ▲
1.40 ▼
SportingBet
2.75 ▼
1.42 ▲
Unibet
2.88 ▲
1.40 ▼
Vistabet
2.75 ▼
1.42 ▲
William Hill
2.75 ▲
1.40 ▼
Consensus
2.76 ▲
1.41 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.04
8.50
Consensus
1.04
8.50
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.14
4.80
Consensus
1.14
4.80
O/U Games 22.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
888Sport
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Bet365
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betsson
1.84 ▼
1.87 ▲
Bwin
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.87 ▲
SportingBet
1.83
1.83
Vistabet
1.83
1.83
William Hill
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.86 ▲
Games Handicap 0.502nd Set
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
1xBet
2.72 ▲
1.40 ▼
Consensus
2.72 ▲
1.40 ▼
Games Handicap 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
R. Bertola
D. Shapovalov
888Sport
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Bet365
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Betsson
1.81 ▼
1.90 ▲
Bwin
1.80
1.87
Interwetten
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Novibet
1.81 ▼
1.90 ▲
SportingBet
1.80
1.87
Vistabet
1.80
1.87
William Hill
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.80 ▼
1.89 ▲
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.76 ▼
1.97 ▲
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.78
1.90
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.77 ▼
1.94 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.78
1.95
Consensus
1.78
1.95
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.92 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.92 ▲
1.80 ▼
Player O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.70
2.08
William Hill
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.68
2.09
Player O/U Games 10.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.72 ▼
2.05 ▲
William Hill
1.70
2.05
Consensus
1.72
2.05