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Match facts
Tournament
Basel
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Hubert Hurkacz is ranked 167 places higher
Surface
Holger Rune wins +16% more on this surface
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz has the stronger first serve
Recent form
H. Hurkacz 4 of last 5
W Z. Bergs 2–1 L A. Davidovich Fokina 1–2 W Y. Zhou 2–1 W N. Djokovic 2–0 W J. Duckworth 2–0H. Rune 3 of last 5
W Q. Halys 2–1 L D. Altmaier 1–2 L K. Jacquet 0–2 W G. Dimitrov 2–1 W I. Radulov 2–0Win probability
H. HurkaczH. Rune
55%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+167 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
H. Hurkacz
1.50
consensus price, since opening
H. Rune
2.63
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
H. Hurkacz
H. Rune
Consensus
1.50
2.63
H. Hurkacz at 1.50
67%
win rate at similar odds (15 matches) · market implies 67%