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Match facts
Tournament
Vienna
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Tommy Paul wins +40% more on this surface
Form
Tommy Paul comes in with better momentum
Recent form
L. Darderi 2 of last 5
W M. Arnaldi 2–0 L J. Duckworth 0–2 L S. Tsitsipas 0–2 L K. Jacquet 0–2 W C. Ruud 2–0Win probability
T. PaulL. Darderi
74%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Dominant on this surface (70% win rate)
- Better recent form
- Better on break points
T. Paul
1.25
consensus price, since opening
L. Darderi
4.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
10bet
1.25
3.75
1xBet
1.27
3.96
888Sport
1.29
3.60
Bet365
1.25
4.00
Betano
1.27
3.85
Betsson
1.25
3.85
Bwin
1.24
3.90
Interwetten
1.25
3.90
Novibet
1.26
4.00
SportingBet
1.24
3.90
Unibet
1.24
3.75
Vistabet
1.24
3.90
William Hill
1.29
3.60
fonbet
1.25
3.95
Consensus
1.26 ▼
3.85 ▼
T. Paul at 1.25
82%
win rate at similar odds (28 matches) · market implies 80% · value signal
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.92
1.80
Consensus
1.92
1.80
Games Handicap -4.00Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Consensus
1.86
1.86
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.50
1.48
1xBet
2.59
1.45
Betano
2.50
1.50
Betsson
2.55
1.45
Novibet
2.50
1.48
Unibet
2.60
1.47
William Hill
2.50
1.50
fonbet
2.60
1.45
Consensus
2.54
1.47
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
10bet
1.73
2.00
1xBet
1.76 ▼
1.97 ▲
Betano
1.75
1.98
Betsson
1.76
1.96
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Novibet
1.75
1.97
Unibet
1.76
1.96
William Hill
1.73
2.00
fonbet
1.75
2.00
Consensus
1.75
1.98
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.11
6.00
Unibet
1.10
6.00
William Hill
1.10
6.50
Consensus
1.10
6.17
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
2.45
1.50
Novibet
2.55
1.47
Consensus
2.50
1.49
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
10bet
1.35
3.10
1xBet
1.37
2.89
888Sport
1.36
3.00
Bet365
1.36
3.20
Betano
1.35
3.05
Betsson
1.35
3.05
Interwetten
1.35
2.95
Novibet
1.36
3.20
Unibet
1.35
3.05
William Hill
1.36
3.00
fonbet
1.35
3.15
Consensus
1.36
3.06
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.08
8.00
1xBet
1.08 ▲
6.90 ▲
Novibet
1.09
6.50
Consensus
1.08
7.13 ▲
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
William Hill
4.33
1.20
Consensus
4.33
1.20
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.81
1.91
Novibet
1.83
1.87
Consensus
1.82
1.89
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.08
7.00
Consensus
1.08
7.00
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
1xBet
1.32
3.14
888Sport
1.36
3.00
Betano
1.35
3.05
Interwetten
1.35
2.95
Novibet
1.30
3.20
Unibet
1.35
3.00
William Hill
1.36
3.00
Consensus
1.34
3.05
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.08
6.50
Consensus
1.08
6.50
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
T. Paul
L. Darderi
1xBet
2.44
1.49
Consensus
2.44
1.49
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.87
1.85
Novibet
1.90
1.80
Consensus
1.89
1.83
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.21
4.05
Consensus
1.21
4.05