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Match facts
Tournament
Sioux Falls, USA
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Maks Kasnikowski is ranked 108 places higher
Surface
Maks Kasnikowski wins +25% more on this surface
Recent form
M. Kaśnikowski 4 of last 5
W J. Trotter 2–0 L D. Džumhur 0–2 W S. Travaglia 2–0 W A. Guerrieri 2–0 W C. Cretu 2–0Win probability
A. MayoM. Kaśnikowski
64%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+108 places)
- Dominant on this surface (62% win rate)
- Better recent form
- Better on break points
A. Mayo
2.38
consensus price, since opening
M. Kaśnikowski
1.53
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
10bet
2.38
1.53
888Sport
2.38
1.53
Betano
2.37
1.52
Betsson
2.29
1.55
Bwin
2.35
1.53
Interwetten
2.30
1.55
Novibet
2.40
1.53
SportingBet
2.35
1.53
Unibet
2.31
1.56
Vistabet
2.35
1.53
William Hill
2.38
1.53
fonbet
2.45
1.50
Consensus
2.36 ▼
1.53 ▼
M. Kaśnikowski at 1.53
75%
win rate at similar odds (12 matches) · market implies 65% · value signal
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Betsson
2.01
1.72
Unibet
2.02
1.73
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.96
1.76
Games Handicap 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.88
1.83
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.93
1.77
Unibet
1.90
1.84
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.90
1.81
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.39
1.51
Unibet
2.38
1.52
William Hill
2.38
1.53
fonbet
2.30
1.55
Consensus
2.36
1.53
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
Interwetten
3.60
1.25
Unibet
3.70
1.23
William Hill
4.00
1.22
fonbet
4.00
1.20
Consensus
3.83
1.23
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.56
2.29
William Hill
1.57
2.30
Consensus
1.57
2.30
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.90
1.33
Consensus
2.90
1.33
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
10bet
2.20
1.60
888Sport
2.25
1.60
Betsson
2.16
1.62
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.25
1.57
Unibet
2.15
1.62
William Hill
2.25
1.60
fonbet
2.20
1.60
Consensus
2.21
1.60
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.27
3.45
Novibet
1.36
2.95
William Hill
1.22
4.00
Consensus
1.28
3.47
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
William Hill
4.75
1.15
Consensus
4.75
1.15
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.36
3.00
Consensus
1.36
3.00
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
888Sport
2.20
1.62
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.20
1.60
Unibet
2.20
1.60
William Hill
2.20
1.62
Consensus
2.20
1.61
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.12
5.50
Consensus
1.12
5.50
Games Handicap 2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Mayo
M. Kaśnikowski
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.88
1.83
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.93
1.77
Unibet
1.90
1.84
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.90
1.81
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Player O/U Games 10.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.56
2.29
William Hill
1.57
2.30
Consensus
1.57
2.30