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Match facts
Tournament
Guayaquil, Ecuador
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Alvaro Guillen Meza is ranked 150 places higher
Surface
Alvaro Guillen Meza wins +18% more on this surface
Form
Alex Hernandez comes in with better momentum
Recent form
A. Guillen Meza 0 of last 5
L A. Fery 0–2 L M. Zeitune 1–2 L M. Schönhaus 1–2 L A. Fenty 0–2 L I. Marcondes 0–2A. Hernandez 3 of last 5
W F. Misolic 2–0 W J. Pereira 1–0 L G. Heide 1–2 L F. Ribero 0–2 W M. Covato 2–0Win probability
A. Guillen MezaA. Hernandez
59%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+150 places)
- Dominant on this surface (59% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
- Better on break points
A. Guillen Meza
1.73
consensus price, since opening
A. Hernandez
2.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Guillen Meza
A. Hernandez
Consensus
1.73
2.00
A. Guillen Meza at 1.73
40%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 58%