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Match facts
Tournament
Sioux Falls, USA
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Liam Draxl is ranked 306 places higher
Surface
Liam Draxl wins +60% more on this surface
Serve
Liam Draxl has the stronger first serve
Recent form
L. Draxl 4 of last 5
W T. Berkieta 2–0 L M. Landaluce 0–2 W T. Machač 2–1 W I. Ivashka 2–1 W J. Duckworth 2–0D. Ostapenkov 3 of last 5
W O. Baris 2–0 W G. Young 2–1 W Q. Vandecasteele 2–0 L A. Pedrico Kravtsov 0–2 L A. Shelbayh 0–2Win probability
L. DraxlD. Ostapenkov
80%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+306 places)
- Dominant on this surface (60% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
L. Draxl
1.22
consensus price, since opening
D. Ostapenkov
4.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Draxl
D. Ostapenkov
Consensus
1.22
4.00
L. Draxl at 1.22
100%
win rate at similar odds (10 matches) · market implies 82% · value signal