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Match facts
Tournament
ATP Finals
Category
Other
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Carlos Alcaraz wins +32% more on this surface
Form
Carlos Alcaraz comes in with better momentum
Recent form
C. Alcaraz 5 of last 5
W B. Shelton 2–0 W C. Ruud 2–0 W T. Fritz 2–1 W M. Berrettini W/O W A. Michelsen 2–0F. Tiafoe 1 of last 5
L Q. Halys 1–2 L L. Musetti 0–2 L A. Davidovich Fokina 1–2 W Y. Hanfmann 2–0 L A. Fils 0–2Head to head
Win probability
C. AlcarazF. Tiafoe
85%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Dominant on this surface (86% win rate)
- Better recent form
- More titles on this surface
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
10bet
1.11
6.00
1xBet
1.13
6.85 ▲
888Sport
1.10
7.00
Betano
1.10 ▼
7.00 ▲
Betsson
1.12 ▲
6.40 ▼
Betway
1.10
7.00
Bwin
1.10
6.50
Interwetten
1.12 ▲
6.00 ▼
Novibet
1.12
6.75 ▲
SportingBet
1.10
6.50
Unibet
1.12
6.50
Vistabet
1.10
6.50
William Hill
1.10
7.00
fonbet
1.11 ▼
6.60 ▲
Consensus
1.11 ▼
6.61 ▼
O/U Games 20.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.89
2.00
Betsson
1.80
1.90
Betway
1.80
1.90
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.83
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1.94
Consensus
1.83
1.91
O/U Games 21.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.91
1.86 ▼
Consensus
1.91 ▲
1.86 ▼
Games Handicap -4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
1xBet
1.84 ▲
2.05 ▼
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.76 ▲
1.95 ▼
Betway
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Novibet
1.80 ▲
1.98
Unibet
1.80 ▲
1.99 ▼
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.79 ▲
1.97 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.89
1.89
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.89
1.89
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.86 ▼
1.86 ▼
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
3.00
1.33
1xBet
3.14 ▼
1.35 ▲
Betsson
3.10
1.32
Betway
2.90
1.33
Novibet
3.10
1.33 ▲
Unibet
3.20
1.34 ▲
William Hill
2.75
1.40
fonbet
3.20
1.33
Consensus
3.05 ▼
1.34 ▲
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
10bet
1.48
2.50
1xBet
1.49 ▲
2.58 ▼
Betano
1.44
2.60 ▼
Betsson
1.44 ▲
2.60 ▼
Betway
1.44
2.60
Interwetten
1.43
2.65
Novibet
1.43 ▲
2.60 ▼
Unibet
1.44 ▲
2.60 ▼
William Hill
1.50
2.50
fonbet
1.45
2.70
Consensus
1.45 ▲
2.59 ▼
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.03
10.50 ▼
Unibet
1.04
10.00 ▼
William Hill
1.03
12.00
Consensus
1.03
10.83 ▲
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
2.42
1.50
Novibet
2.50
1.47
Consensus
2.46
1.49
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
10bet
1.22
4.00
1xBet
1.25 ▲
3.86 ▼
888Sport
1.22
4.00
Betano
1.21 ▲
4.15 ▼
Betsson
1.21
4.40 ▼
Betway
1.18
4.25
Interwetten
1.20
4.00
Novibet
1.20
4.40
Unibet
1.21 ▲
4.30 ▼
William Hill
1.22
4.00
fonbet
1.20
4.50 ▲
Consensus
1.21
4.17
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.10
7.00
1xBet
1.08 ▲
6.90 ▼
Betway
1.08
6.50
Novibet
1.09
6.00
fonbet
1.08
6.50 ▼
Consensus
1.09
6.58 ▼
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
1xBet
8.30 ▼
1.06
William Hill
7.00
1.08
Consensus
7.65 ▼
1.07 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.83 ▲
1.95 ▼
Betway
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.75
1.93
Consensus
1.81
1.91 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.12
5.85 ▼
Novibet
1.13
5.00
William Hill
1.10
6.50
Consensus
1.12
5.78 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
1xBet
1.20
4.50 ▼
888Sport
1.22
4.00
Betano
1.21 ▲
4.15 ▼
Betway
1.18
4.25
Interwetten
1.20
4.00
Novibet
1.20 ▲
4.20 ▼
Unibet
1.21
4.20 ▼
William Hill
1.22
4.00
Consensus
1.21 ▲
4.16 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.07
7.30 ▲
Novibet
1.08
6.50
Consensus
1.07 ▼
6.90 ▲
Games Handicap -4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
F. Tiafoe
1xBet
7.70 ▼
1.06
Consensus
7.70 ▼
1.06 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.92 ▼
1.86 ▲
Novibet
1.90
1.78
Consensus
1.91 ▼
1.82
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.09
6.75 ▲
Consensus
1.09
6.75 ▲