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Match facts
Tournament
Metz, France
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Dušan Lajović is ranked 174 places higher
Surface
Dušan Lajović wins +32% more on this surface
Serve
Dušan Lajović has the stronger first serve
Recent form
D. Lajović 1 of last 5
L B. Gadamauri 0–0 L M. Mrva 0–2 L D. Dedura 0–0 L F. Diaz Acosta 0–2 W M. Alcalá Gurri 1–0Win probability
A. NagelD. Lajović
75%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+174 places)
- Dominant on this surface (32% win rate)
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
A. Nagel
2.50
consensus price, since opening
D. Lajović
1.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
10bet
2.45
1.50
Bet365
2.50
1.50
Betway
2.40
1.55
Bwin
2.45
1.48
Interwetten
2.40
1.50
Novibet
2.45
1.51
SportingBet
2.45
1.48
Unibet
2.48
1.50
Vistabet
2.45
1.48
Consensus
2.45 ▼
1.50 ▼
D. Lajović at 1.50
55%
win rate at similar odds (11 matches) · market implies 67%
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Novibet
1.91
1.80
Unibet
1.94
1.78
Consensus
1.92
1.79
Games Handicap 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.87
1.80
Unibet
1.95
1.76
Consensus
1.92
1.78
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
2.38
1.52
Consensus
2.38
1.52
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
Interwetten
4.00
1.20
Unibet
4.10
1.20
Consensus
4.05
1.20
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Unibet
1.68
2.06
Consensus
1.67
2.08
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
10bet
2.30
1.55
Bet365
2.38
1.53
Betway
2.30
1.55
Interwetten
2.30
1.55
Novibet
2.30
1.56
Unibet
2.25
1.56
Consensus
2.31 ▲
1.55
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.26
3.50
Consensus
1.26
3.50
Games Handicap 1.501st Set
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
Unibet
1.83
1.88
Consensus
1.83
1.88
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Player O/U Games 11.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Unibet
1.68
2.06
Consensus
1.67
2.08
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
Betway
2.20
1.60
Interwetten
2.35
1.55
Novibet
2.25
1.59
Unibet
2.31
1.54
Consensus
2.28
1.57
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.08
6.25
Consensus
1.08
6.25
Games Handicap 2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
A. Nagel
D. Lajović
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.87
1.80
Unibet
1.95
1.76
Consensus
1.92
1.78
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Player O/U Games 11.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Unibet
1.68
2.06
Consensus
1.67
2.08