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Match facts
Tournament
Helsinki, Finland
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Jacob Fearnley is ranked 125 places higher
Surface
Jacob Fearnley wins +56% more on this surface
Serve
Jacob Fearnley has the stronger first serve
Recent form
G. Cadenasso 2 of last 5
L M. Petković 0–2 L J. Clarke 0–2 W F. Bax 2–0 L S. Kopp 0–2 W R. M. Papoe 2–1J. Fearnley 3 of last 5
L A. Shevchenko 0–2 W A. Nagel 2–0 L A. Fery 0–0 W L. Sonego 2–1 W P. Carreño Busta 2–1Win probability
G. CadenassoJ. Fearnley
76%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+125 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (56% win rate)
- More effective serve
G. Cadenasso
7.00
consensus price, since opening
J. Fearnley
1.10
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
10bet
6.50
1.10
1xBet
5.85
1.09
Bet365
7.00
1.10
Betano
5.70
1.11
Betsson
6.20
1.09
Betway
6.50
1.08
Bwin
5.75
1.10
Interwetten
6.00
1.10
Novibet
6.75
1.10
SportingBet
5.75
1.10
Unibet
6.50
1.10
Vistabet
5.75
1.10
fonbet
5.80
1.09
Consensus
6.15 ▼
1.10 ▼
J. Fearnley at 1.10
88%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 91%
O/U Games 19.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.76
1.91
Consensus
1.76
1.91
O/U Games 19.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
2.00
1.73
Betsson
1.98
1.74
Novibet
1.98
1.73
Unibet
1.98
1.75
Consensus
1.99
1.74
Games Handicap 5.50Full Match
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
1xBet
1.93
1.76
Bet365
2.00
1.73
Betsson
1.97
1.75
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.95
1.77
Unibet
1.97
1.75
Consensus
1.97 ▲
1.75
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.86
1.85
Consensus
1.91 ▲
1.81 ▼
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
3.14
1.29
Betsson
3.50 ▼
1.26 ▲
Unibet
3.50
1.25
Consensus
3.50 ▲
1.26
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
1xBet
9.10
1.02
Unibet
10.50
1.02
Consensus
10.50 ▲
1.02
Player O/U Games 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.70
2.02
Consensus
1.70
2.02
Player O/U Games 7.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.87
1.77
Unibet
2.03
1.70
Consensus
1.95
1.74
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
10bet
4.33
1.18
1xBet
3.67
1.23
Bet365
5.00
1.17
Betsson
4.40
1.17
Betway
4.75
1.15
Interwetten
4.40
1.17
Novibet
4.90
1.16
Unibet
4.40
1.17
Consensus
4.57 ▲
1.17 ▼
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.55
2.23
Betsson
1.49
2.44
Novibet
1.53
2.35
Consensus
1.51 ▼
2.40 ▲
Games Handicap 1.501st Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
1xBet
2.98
1.32
Consensus
2.98
1.32
Games Handicap 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
Novibet
1.90
1.80
Unibet
1.94
1.78
Consensus
1.92
1.79
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.92
1.75
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Unibet
1.86
1.85
Consensus
1.91 ▼
1.81 ▲
Player O/U Games 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.42
2.53
Consensus
1.42
2.53
Player O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.70
2.02
Consensus
1.70
2.02
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
1xBet
4.31
1.17
Betway
4.75
1.15
Interwetten
4.80
1.15
Novibet
4.35
1.18
Unibet
4.80
1.15
Consensus
4.65 ▲
1.16
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.18
4.35
Consensus
1.18
4.35
Games Handicap 2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
1xBet
1.99
1.68
Consensus
1.99
1.68
Games Handicap 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
G. Cadenasso
J. Fearnley
Bet365
2.00
1.73
Betsson
1.97
1.75
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.95
1.77
Unibet
1.97
1.75
Consensus
1.97
1.75
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.97
1.71
Betsson
1.86
1.85
Unibet
1.86
1.85
Consensus
1.91 ▼
1.81 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.01
1.68
Consensus
2.01
1.68
Player O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.87
1.77
Unibet
2.03
1.70
Consensus
1.95
1.74