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Match facts
Tournament
Helsinki, Finland
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Toby Samuel is ranked 126 places higher
Surface
Toby Samuel wins +57% more on this surface
Form
Toby Samuel comes in with better momentum
Serve
Toby Samuel has the stronger first serve
Recent form
I. Ivashka 3 of last 5
L R. Safiullin 1–2 L L. Draxl 1–2 W M. Sharipov 0–0 W K. Uchida 2–0 W B. Zhukayev 2–0T. Samuel 3 of last 5
L L. Musetti 0–2 W L. Borg 2–0 W A. Mannarino 2–1 W K. Friberg 2–0 L J. Rodionov 0–2Win probability
I. IvashkaT. Samuel
86%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+126 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (74% win rate)
- More effective serve
I. Ivashka
3.25
consensus price, since opening
T. Samuel
1.33
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
10bet
3.00
1.33
1xBet
3.09
1.32
Bet365
3.25
1.33
Betano
3.05
1.33
Betsson
3.15
1.32
Bwin
3.10
1.33
Interwetten
3.20
1.30
Novibet
3.25
1.33
SportingBet
3.10
1.33
Unibet
3.20
1.32
Vistabet
3.10
1.33
Consensus
3.14 ▼
1.33
T. Samuel at 1.33
75%
win rate at similar odds (12 matches) · market implies 75%
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.77
1.89
Consensus
1.77
1.89
Games Handicap 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
1xBet
1.84
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.97
1.75
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.87
1.80
Unibet
1.97
1.75
Consensus
1.91
1.79
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.80
1.90
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.80
1.91
Unibet
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.81
1.89
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.40
1.48
Betsson
2.55
1.46
Unibet
2.53
1.45
Consensus
2.49
1.46
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
1xBet
5.20
1.11
Interwetten
5.50
1.12
Unibet
5.50
1.12
Consensus
5.40
1.12
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.77
1.87
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.81
1.86
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
10bet
2.75
1.40
1xBet
2.53
1.45
Bet365
2.75
1.40
Betsson
2.70
1.41
Interwetten
2.75
1.40
Novibet
2.75
1.40
Unibet
2.70
1.40
Consensus
2.70
1.41
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.23
3.75
Novibet
1.24
3.60
Consensus
1.24
3.68
Games Handicap 0.501st Set
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
1xBet
2.51
1.44
Consensus
2.51
1.44
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.76
1.91
Consensus
1.76
1.91
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.38
2.67
Consensus
1.38
2.67
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
1xBet
2.69
1.40
Interwetten
2.80
1.40
Novibet
2.75
1.42
Unibet
2.83
1.37
Consensus
2.77
1.40
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07
7.00
Consensus
1.07
7.00
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
I. Ivashka
T. Samuel
1xBet
2.01
1.66
Consensus
2.01
1.66
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Consensus
1.83
1.83
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.82
1.84
Consensus
1.82
1.84