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Match facts
Tournament
Metz, France
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Final
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Calvin Hemery is ranked 79 places higher
Surface
Matthew William Donald wins +12% more on this surface
Form
Calvin Hemery comes in with better momentum
Serve
Calvin Hemery has the stronger first serve
Recent form
C. Hemery 4 of last 5
W A. Donski 2–0 L P. Martinez 0–2 W S. Báez 2–0 W S. Mochizuki 2–1 W L. Poullain 2–1M. Donald 2 of last 5
W M. Krumich 2–1 L Z. Piros 0–2 L J. Forejtek 0–2 W M. Bekeni 2–0 L F. Romano 0–2Win probability
C. HemeryM. Donald
62%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+79 places)
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
- Better on break points
C. Hemery
1.62
consensus price, since opening
M. Donald
2.20
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
C. Hemery
M. Donald
Betsson
1.60
2.20
Betway
1.65
2.25
Bwin
1.60
2.15
Novibet
1.61
2.20
SportingBet
1.60
2.15
Unibet
1.62
2.21
Vistabet
1.60
2.15
fonbet
1.58
2.25
Consensus
1.61 ▼
2.20 ▼
C. Hemery at 1.62
60%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 62%
M. Donald at 2.20
50%
win rate at similar odds (6 matches) · market implies 45% · value signal
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.37
1.52
Unibet
2.38
1.52
Consensus
2.38
1.52
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Hemery
M. Donald
Unibet
2.42
1.50
Consensus
2.42
1.50
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
C. Hemery
M. Donald
Betsson
1.66
2.09
Betway
1.60
2.20
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Unibet
1.65
2.09
Consensus
1.64
2.12
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Hemery
M. Donald
Betway
1.65
2.10
Novibet
1.64
2.12
Unibet
1.64
2.11
Consensus
1.64
2.11
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betway
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85